Traders assign a 98.6% implied probability to the 85–90 flu hospitalization rate range for Week 23 of 2026 because mid-June typically marks the tail end of the influenza season, with CDC surveillance data showing sharp declines in laboratory-confirmed cases and hospital admissions after the winter peak. Seasonal patterns driven by warmer temperatures, reduced indoor crowding, and waning viral circulation produce low weekly rates consistent with this narrow band. Official FluSurv-NET metrics and syndromic trends reinforce the consensus, while the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of historical June baselines. An atypical late-season surge from a novel strain or reporting anomaly could shift outcomes, though such events remain rare outside established surveillance windows.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 23, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 23, 2026?
85–90 98.6%
<80 <1%
100+ <1%
95–100 <1%
नया
नया
19 जून, 2026
<80
1%
80–85
<1%
85–90
99%
90–95
<1%
95–100
1%
100+
1%
85–90 98.6%
<80 <1%
100+ <1%
95–100 <1%
नया
नया
19 जून, 2026
<80
$332 वॉल्यूम
1%
80–85
$337 वॉल्यूम
<1%
85–90
$2,864 वॉल्यूम
99%
90–95
$83 वॉल्यूम
<1%
95–100
$185 वॉल्यूम
1%
100+
$395 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Traders assign a 98.6% implied probability to the 85–90 flu hospitalization rate range for Week 23 of 2026 because mid-June typically marks the tail end of the influenza season, with CDC surveillance data showing sharp declines in laboratory-confirmed cases and hospital admissions after the winter peak. Seasonal patterns driven by warmer temperatures, reduced indoor crowding, and waning viral circulation produce low weekly rates consistent with this narrow band. Official FluSurv-NET metrics and syndromic trends reinforce the consensus, while the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of historical June baselines. An atypical late-season surge from a novel strain or reporting anomaly could shift outcomes, though such events remain rare outside established surveillance windows.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 12, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,197समाप्ति तिथि
19 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 12, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Traders assign a 98.6% implied probability to the 85–90 flu hospitalization rate range for Week 23 of 2026 because mid-June typically marks the tail end of the influenza season, with CDC surveillance data showing sharp declines in laboratory-confirmed cases and hospital admissions after the winter peak. Seasonal patterns driven by warmer temperatures, reduced indoor crowding, and waning viral circulation produce low weekly rates consistent with this narrow band. Official FluSurv-NET metrics and syndromic trends reinforce the consensus, while the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of historical June baselines. An atypical late-season surge from a novel strain or reporting anomaly could shift outcomes, though such events remain rare outside established surveillance windows.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
वॉल्यूम
$4,197समाप्ति तिथि
19 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 12, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign a 98.6% implied probability to the 85–90 flu hospitalization rate range for Week 23 of 2026 because mid-June typically marks the tail end of the influenza season, with CDC surveillance data showing sharp declines in laboratory-confirmed cases and hospital admissions after the winter peak. Seasonal patterns driven by warmer temperatures, reduced indoor crowding, and waning viral circulation produce low weekly rates consistent with this narrow band. Official FluSurv-NET metrics and syndromic trends reinforce the consensus, while the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of historical June baselines. An atypical late-season surge from a novel strain or reporting anomaly could shift outcomes, though such events remain rare outside established surveillance windows.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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