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French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
चुनाव·फ़्रेंच चुनाव

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

नया
23 अप्रैल, 2027
Polymarket

$9,754 वॉल्यूम

Polymarket

Éric Zemmour

$87 वॉल्यूम

60%

Jordan Bardella

$856 वॉल्यूम

76%

Michel Barnier

$141 वॉल्यूम

11%

Valérie Pécresse

$156 वॉल्यूम

10%

Gabriel Attal

$549 वॉल्यूम

95%

Élisabeth Borne

$81 वॉल्यूम

19%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$104 वॉल्यूम

35%

Jean Castex

$46 वॉल्यूम

28%

Gérald Darmanin

$144 वॉल्यूम

11%

Sébastien Lecornu

$75 वॉल्यूम

35%

François Bayrou

$463 वॉल्यूम

8%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$41 वॉल्यूम

39%

Carole Delga

$148 वॉल्यूम

17%

Olivier Faure

$50 वॉल्यूम

49%

François Hollande

$132 वॉल्यूम

60%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$81 वॉल्यूम

67%

Manuel Bompard

$63 वॉल्यूम

12%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$6,383 वॉल्यूम

99%

Mathilde Panot

$84 वॉल्यूम

5%

Dominique de Villepin

$14 वॉल्यूम

55%

Marine Le Pen

$57 वॉल्यूम

39%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.With Emmanuel Macron ineligible for a third term due to constitutional limits, France's fragmented political landscape—stemming from the 2024 snap legislative elections and resulting hung parliament—has spurred an unprecedented profusion of early declarations for the April 2027 presidential race. Hard-left La France Insoumise leader Jean-Luc Mélenchon announced his fourth bid on May 3, 2026, followed by sovereignist Florian Philippot on May 9 and center-right Horizons head Édouard Philippe's official campaign launch on May 10. Republicans nominated Bruno Retailleau on April 19 amid internal divisions over primaries. Traders eye further announcements, including National Rally's choice pending Marine Le Pen's July 7 ineligibility appeal and a United Left primary on October 11, as skin-in-the-game consensus weighs frontrunners like Jordan Bardella against this crowded field.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$9,754
समाप्ति तिथि
23 अप्रैल, 2027
बाज़ार खुला
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.With Emmanuel Macron ineligible for a third term due to constitutional limits, France's fragmented political landscape—stemming from the 2024 snap legislative elections and resulting hung parliament—has spurred an unprecedented profusion of early declarations for the April 2027 presidential race. Hard-left La France Insoumise leader Jean-Luc Mélenchon announced his fourth bid on May 3, 2026, followed by sovereignist Florian Philippot on May 9 and center-right Horizons head Édouard Philippe's official campaign launch on May 10. Republicans nominated Bruno Retailleau on April 19 amid internal divisions over primaries. Traders eye further announcements, including National Rally's choice pending Marine Le Pen's July 7 ineligibility appeal and a United Left primary on October 11, as skin-in-the-game consensus weighs frontrunners like Jordan Bardella against this crowded field.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$9,754
समाप्ति तिथि
23 अप्रैल, 2027
बाज़ार खुला
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" Polymarket पर 21 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, Jean-Luc Mélenchon 99% (99¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद Gabriel Attal 95% पर है।

"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" Polymarket पर एक नवनिर्मित बाज़ार है, Apr 22, 2026 को लॉन्च किया गया। एक शुरुआती बाज़ार के रूप में, यह पहले ट्रेडरों में शामिल होने और संभावनाएँ सेट करने और बाज़ार के शुरुआती मूल्य संकेत स्थापित करने का आपका अवसर है। आप समय के साथ बाज़ार की गति बढ़ने पर वॉल्यूम और ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि को ट्रैक करने के लिए इस पेज को बुकमार्क भी कर सकते हैं।

"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 21 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" 99% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "Gabriel Attal" 95% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।