Jury deliberations in Harvey Weinstein's third New York rape retrial—centered on a 2013 charge by actress Jessica Mann carrying up to 25 years—have driven fragmented trader consensus, with "No Prison Time" narrowly leading at 30.1% implied probability amid his history of overturned convictions on procedural grounds and recent chest pains prompting early court adjournments. Competitive dynamics pit acquittal or mistrial hopes against #MeToo momentum and prior guilty verdicts, keeping 20-30 years (24.5%) and 10-20 years (23.5%) close contenders; a conviction could tip toward higher ranges, though his age (74) and separate California 16-year appeal add uncertainty. Resolution hinges on this trial's first sentence or no ruling by July 31, 2026.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहार्वे वाइनस्टीन जेल का समय?
हार्वे वाइनस्टीन जेल का समय?
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं 30.1%
20-30 साल 24.5%
10-20 साल 23.5%
5 वर्ष से कम 10.7%
$929,467 वॉल्यूम
$929,467 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2025
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं
30%
5 वर्ष से कम
11%
5-10 साल
7%
10-20 साल
24%
20-30 साल
25%
30+ साल
8%
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं 30.1%
20-30 साल 24.5%
10-20 साल 23.5%
5 वर्ष से कम 10.7%
$929,467 वॉल्यूम
$929,467 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2025
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं
$331,543 वॉल्यूम
30%
5 वर्ष से कम
$122,804 वॉल्यूम
11%
5-10 साल
$72,861 वॉल्यूम
7%
10-20 साल
$148,911 वॉल्यूम
24%
20-30 साल
$187,304 वॉल्यूम
25%
30+ साल
$66,044 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jury deliberations in Harvey Weinstein's third New York rape retrial—centered on a 2013 charge by actress Jessica Mann carrying up to 25 years—have driven fragmented trader consensus, with "No Prison Time" narrowly leading at 30.1% implied probability amid his history of overturned convictions on procedural grounds and recent chest pains prompting early court adjournments. Competitive dynamics pit acquittal or mistrial hopes against #MeToo momentum and prior guilty verdicts, keeping 20-30 years (24.5%) and 10-20 years (23.5%) close contenders; a conviction could tip toward higher ranges, though his age (74) and separate California 16-year appeal add uncertainty. Resolution hinges on this trial's first sentence or no ruling by July 31, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$929,467समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2025बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jury deliberations in Harvey Weinstein's third New York rape retrial—centered on a 2013 charge by actress Jessica Mann carrying up to 25 years—have driven fragmented trader consensus, with "No Prison Time" narrowly leading at 30.1% implied probability amid his history of overturned convictions on procedural grounds and recent chest pains prompting early court adjournments. Competitive dynamics pit acquittal or mistrial hopes against #MeToo momentum and prior guilty verdicts, keeping 20-30 years (24.5%) and 10-20 years (23.5%) close contenders; a conviction could tip toward higher ranges, though his age (74) and separate California 16-year appeal add uncertainty. Resolution hinges on this trial's first sentence or no ruling by July 31, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$929,467समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2025बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jury deliberations in Harvey Weinstein's third New York rape retrial—centered on a 2013 charge by actress Jessica Mann carrying up to 25 years—have driven fragmented trader consensus, with "No Prison Time" narrowly leading at 30.1% implied probability amid his history of overturned convictions on procedural grounds and recent chest pains prompting early court adjournments. Competitive dynamics pit acquittal or mistrial hopes against #MeToo momentum and prior guilty verdicts, keeping 20-30 years (24.5%) and 10-20 years (23.5%) close contenders; a conviction could tip toward higher ranges, though his age (74) and separate California 16-year appeal add uncertainty. Resolution hinges on this trial's first sentence or no ruling by July 31, 2026.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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