Recent National Weather Service and private model runs highlight increased thunderstorm chances and cloud cover over central Texas on July 14, tempering peak heating and supporting market-implied odds clustered around 80–83°F. Moisture advection from the Gulf combined with weak steering flow favors scattered to numerous storms that reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling, differentiating outcomes in the 78–85°F bins. Ensemble spread in precipitation timing and coverage creates the tight probability distribution between 80–81°F and 82–83°F, while historical July climatology near 96°F underscores how atypical this pattern remains. Updated model guidance and radar trends through the overnight hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया14 जुलाई को ऑस्टिन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
14 जुलाई को ऑस्टिन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
82-83°F 36%
80-81°F 28%
84-85°F 21%
78-79°F 12%
नया
$13,348 वॉल्यूम
नया
$13,348 वॉल्यूम
14 जुल, 2026
77°F या उससे कम
2%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
21%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F या अधिक
<1%
82-83°F 36%
80-81°F 28%
84-85°F 21%
78-79°F 12%
नया
$13,348 वॉल्यूम
नया
$13,348 वॉल्यूम
14 जुल, 2026
77°F या उससे कम
$716 वॉल्यूम
2%
78-79°F
$1,506 वॉल्यूम
12%
80-81°F
$920 वॉल्यूम
28%
82-83°F
$663 वॉल्यूम
36%
84-85°F
$1,128 वॉल्यूम
21%
86-87°F
$1,470 वॉल्यूम
4%
88-89°F
$1,100 वॉल्यूम
2%
90-91°F
$1,023 वॉल्यूम
1%
92-93°F
$1,912 वॉल्यूम
<1%
94-95°F
$2,720 वॉल्यूम
<1%
96°F या अधिक
$259 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model runs highlight increased thunderstorm chances and cloud cover over central Texas on July 14, tempering peak heating and supporting market-implied odds clustered around 80–83°F. Moisture advection from the Gulf combined with weak steering flow favors scattered to numerous storms that reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling, differentiating outcomes in the 78–85°F bins. Ensemble spread in precipitation timing and coverage creates the tight probability distribution between 80–81°F and 82–83°F, while historical July climatology near 96°F underscores how atypical this pattern remains. Updated model guidance and radar trends through the overnight hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 12, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$13,348समाप्ति तिथि
14 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 12, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model runs highlight increased thunderstorm chances and cloud cover over central Texas on July 14, tempering peak heating and supporting market-implied odds clustered around 80–83°F. Moisture advection from the Gulf combined with weak steering flow favors scattered to numerous storms that reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling, differentiating outcomes in the 78–85°F bins. Ensemble spread in precipitation timing and coverage creates the tight probability distribution between 80–81°F and 82–83°F, while historical July climatology near 96°F underscores how atypical this pattern remains. Updated model guidance and radar trends through the overnight hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$13,348समाप्ति तिथि
14 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 12, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model runs highlight increased thunderstorm chances and cloud cover over central Texas on July 14, tempering peak heating and supporting market-implied odds clustered around 80–83°F. Moisture advection from the Gulf combined with weak steering flow favors scattered to numerous storms that reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling, differentiating outcomes in the 78–85°F bins. Ensemble spread in precipitation timing and coverage creates the tight probability distribution between 80–81°F and 82–83°F, while historical July climatology near 96°F underscores how atypical this pattern remains. Updated model guidance and radar trends through the overnight hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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