**Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged on a 28°C daily maximum for Beijing on August 16, 2026, reflecting the latest model guidance and official forecasts.** Recent outputs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles project partly cloudy conditions with scattered thundershowers that limit solar heating and cap peak temperatures near this level, consistent with late-August seasonal moderation in the region. Official bulletins list a high around 29°C under thunderstorms or cloudy skies, with the precise 28°C outcome aligning closely enough to dominate the market-implied probability. Realistic challenges include a shift in atmospheric steering patterns or reduced cloud cover allowing stronger insolation to push readings toward 30°C, while heavier or earlier rainfall could hold the maximum at 27°C or below. Updated model runs and surface observations throughout the day will determine whether the current positioning holds through resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 अगस्त को बीजिंग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
16 अगस्त को बीजिंग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$115,908 वॉल्यूम
$115,908 वॉल्यूम
16 अग, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$115,908 वॉल्यूम
$115,908 वॉल्यूम
16 अग, 2026
23°C or below
$4,616 वॉल्यूम
No
24°C
$14,021 वॉल्यूम
No
25°C
$12,895 वॉल्यूम
No
26°C
$12,868 वॉल्यूम
No
27°C
$11,643 वॉल्यूम
No
28°C
$10,690 वॉल्यूम
Yes
29°C
$13,556 वॉल्यूम
No
30°C
$12,339 वॉल्यूम
No
31°C
$9,228 वॉल्यूम
No
32°C
$7,424 वॉल्यूम
No
33°C or higher
$6,628 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged on a 28°C daily maximum for Beijing on August 16, 2026, reflecting the latest model guidance and official forecasts.** Recent outputs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles project partly cloudy conditions with scattered thundershowers that limit solar heating and cap peak temperatures near this level, consistent with late-August seasonal moderation in the region. Official bulletins list a high around 29°C under thunderstorms or cloudy skies, with the precise 28°C outcome aligning closely enough to dominate the market-implied probability.
Realistic challenges include a shift in atmospheric steering patterns or reduced cloud cover allowing stronger insolation to push readings toward 30°C, while heavier or earlier rainfall could hold the maximum at 27°C or below. Updated model runs and surface observations throughout the day will determine whether the current positioning holds through resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$115,908समाप्ति तिथि
16 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged on a 28°C daily maximum for Beijing on August 16, 2026, reflecting the latest model guidance and official forecasts.** Recent outputs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles project partly cloudy conditions with scattered thundershowers that limit solar heating and cap peak temperatures near this level, consistent with late-August seasonal moderation in the region. Official bulletins list a high around 29°C under thunderstorms or cloudy skies, with the precise 28°C outcome aligning closely enough to dominate the market-implied probability.
Realistic challenges include a shift in atmospheric steering patterns or reduced cloud cover allowing stronger insolation to push readings toward 30°C, while heavier or earlier rainfall could hold the maximum at 27°C or below. Updated model runs and surface observations throughout the day will determine whether the current positioning holds through resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$115,908समाप्ति तिथि
16 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
**Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged on a 28°C daily maximum for Beijing on August 16, 2026, reflecting the latest model guidance and official forecasts.** Recent outputs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles project partly cloudy conditions with scattered thundershowers that limit solar heating and cap peak temperatures near this level, consistent with late-August seasonal moderation in the region. Official bulletins list a high around 29°C under thunderstorms or cloudy skies, with the precise 28°C outcome aligning closely enough to dominate the market-implied probability. Realistic challenges include a shift in atmospheric steering patterns or reduced cloud cover allowing stronger insolation to push readings toward 30°C, while heavier or earlier rainfall could hold the maximum at 27°C or below. Updated model runs and surface observations throughout the day will determine whether the current positioning holds through resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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