Recent model guidance and climatological baselines drive the tight clustering around 32–34°C for Beijing’s July 2 maximum, with traders weighting ensemble forecasts that place daytime highs near 31–33°C amid typical early-July monsoon moisture. Beijing’s urban heat island and seasonal solar insolation support these values, while scattered thunderstorms—already observed in late June—could limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, differentiating the 32°C versus 34°C outcomes. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and short-range model runs expected over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convection, directly influencing resolution probabilities in this narrow range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Beijing on July 2?
Highest temperature in Beijing on July 2?
33°C 29%
34°C 22%
32°C 16%
35°C 11%
नया
नया
2 जुल, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
16%
33°C
29%
34°C
22%
35°C
11%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 29%
34°C 22%
32°C 16%
35°C 11%
नया
नया
2 जुल, 2026
28°C or below
$1,023 वॉल्यूम
1%
29°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
1%
30°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
31°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
6%
32°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
16%
33°C
$18 वॉल्यूम
29%
34°C
$124 वॉल्यूम
22%
35°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
11%
36°C
$66 वॉल्यूम
5%
37°C
$12 वॉल्यूम
1%
38°C or higher
$72 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance and climatological baselines drive the tight clustering around 32–34°C for Beijing’s July 2 maximum, with traders weighting ensemble forecasts that place daytime highs near 31–33°C amid typical early-July monsoon moisture. Beijing’s urban heat island and seasonal solar insolation support these values, while scattered thunderstorms—already observed in late June—could limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, differentiating the 32°C versus 34°C outcomes. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and short-range model runs expected over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convection, directly influencing resolution probabilities in this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,296समाप्ति तिथि
2 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance and climatological baselines drive the tight clustering around 32–34°C for Beijing’s July 2 maximum, with traders weighting ensemble forecasts that place daytime highs near 31–33°C amid typical early-July monsoon moisture. Beijing’s urban heat island and seasonal solar insolation support these values, while scattered thunderstorms—already observed in late June—could limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, differentiating the 32°C versus 34°C outcomes. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and short-range model runs expected over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convection, directly influencing resolution probabilities in this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,296समाप्ति तिथि
2 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance and climatological baselines drive the tight clustering around 32–34°C for Beijing’s July 2 maximum, with traders weighting ensemble forecasts that place daytime highs near 31–33°C amid typical early-July monsoon moisture. Beijing’s urban heat island and seasonal solar insolation support these values, while scattered thunderstorms—already observed in late June—could limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, differentiating the 32°C versus 34°C outcomes. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and short-range model runs expected over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convection, directly influencing resolution probabilities in this narrow range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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