Beijing's late-July temperatures hinge on the subtropical high's position and monsoon moisture influx, which drive afternoon heating while frequent showers and thunderstorms introduce cooling variability. Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models cluster daily maxima near 31–33 °C for July 25, reflecting typical climatological values of ~31 °C offset by recent El Niño-enhanced warmth across eastern China and localized urban heat-island amplification. Close market-implied odds among the three leading outcomes underscore model spread arising from differences in simulated cloud cover, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing, with any earlier or heavier rainfall likely capping the peak below 32 °C. Traders are watching the next China Meteorological Administration runs and high-resolution updates for shifts in these key variables before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया25 जुलाई को बीजिंग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
25 जुलाई को बीजिंग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
32°C 32%
33°C 25%
31°C 19%
34°C 14%
नया
नया
25 जुल, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
19%
32°C
32%
33°C
25%
34°C
14%
35°C
8%
36°C or higher
2%
32°C 32%
33°C 25%
31°C 19%
34°C 14%
नया
नया
25 जुल, 2026
26°C or below
$271 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$82 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$113 वॉल्यूम
1%
29°C
$113 वॉल्यूम
3%
30°C
$75 वॉल्यूम
7%
31°C
$76 वॉल्यूम
19%
32°C
$95 वॉल्यूम
32%
33°C
$85 वॉल्यूम
25%
34°C
$109 वॉल्यूम
14%
35°C
$145 वॉल्यूम
8%
36°C or higher
$90 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Beijing's late-July temperatures hinge on the subtropical high's position and monsoon moisture influx, which drive afternoon heating while frequent showers and thunderstorms introduce cooling variability. Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models cluster daily maxima near 31–33 °C for July 25, reflecting typical climatological values of ~31 °C offset by recent El Niño-enhanced warmth across eastern China and localized urban heat-island amplification. Close market-implied odds among the three leading outcomes underscore model spread arising from differences in simulated cloud cover, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing, with any earlier or heavier rainfall likely capping the peak below 32 °C. Traders are watching the next China Meteorological Administration runs and high-resolution updates for shifts in these key variables before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,253समाप्ति तिथि
25 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Beijing's late-July temperatures hinge on the subtropical high's position and monsoon moisture influx, which drive afternoon heating while frequent showers and thunderstorms introduce cooling variability. Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models cluster daily maxima near 31–33 °C for July 25, reflecting typical climatological values of ~31 °C offset by recent El Niño-enhanced warmth across eastern China and localized urban heat-island amplification. Close market-implied odds among the three leading outcomes underscore model spread arising from differences in simulated cloud cover, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing, with any earlier or heavier rainfall likely capping the peak below 32 °C. Traders are watching the next China Meteorological Administration runs and high-resolution updates for shifts in these key variables before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,253समाप्ति तिथि
25 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Beijing's late-July temperatures hinge on the subtropical high's position and monsoon moisture influx, which drive afternoon heating while frequent showers and thunderstorms introduce cooling variability. Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models cluster daily maxima near 31–33 °C for July 25, reflecting typical climatological values of ~31 °C offset by recent El Niño-enhanced warmth across eastern China and localized urban heat-island amplification. Close market-implied odds among the three leading outcomes underscore model spread arising from differences in simulated cloud cover, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing, with any earlier or heavier rainfall likely capping the peak below 32 °C. Traders are watching the next China Meteorological Administration runs and high-resolution updates for shifts in these key variables before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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