Trader consensus around 38–40°C for Busan’s August 2 high reflects short-range forecast uncertainty, with ensemble models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global centers showing potential for above-normal temperatures driven by the strengthening North Pacific High. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity could amplify daytime peaks through urban heat effects, while minor shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover introduce variability that differentiates 37°C versus 41°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide baseline context, yet recent model runs have trended warmer. Updated KMA guidance and refined numerical forecasts over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift these closely matched implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2 अगस्त को बुसान में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
37°C 30%
38°C 26%
39°C 22%
40°C 17%
36°C या उससे कम
9%
37°C
30%
38°C
26%
39°C
22%
40°C
17%
41°C
5%
42°C
2%
43°C
<1%
44°C
1%
45°C
<1%
46°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
37°C 30%
38°C 26%
39°C 22%
40°C 17%
36°C या उससे कम
9%
37°C
30%
38°C
26%
39°C
22%
40°C
17%
41°C
5%
42°C
2%
43°C
<1%
44°C
1%
45°C
<1%
46°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 38–40°C for Busan’s August 2 high reflects short-range forecast uncertainty, with ensemble models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global centers showing potential for above-normal temperatures driven by the strengthening North Pacific High. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity could amplify daytime peaks through urban heat effects, while minor shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover introduce variability that differentiates 37°C versus 41°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide baseline context, yet recent model runs have trended warmer. Updated KMA guidance and refined numerical forecasts over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift these closely matched implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया



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