Traders assign overwhelming probability to a 33°C peak in Busan on August 30 because operational numerical weather prediction models, including those from the Korea Meteorological Administration, consistently indicate daytime maxima near this threshold under southwesterly flow and high dew points near 27°C. These conditions favor strong surface heating despite scattered thunderstorm activity, aligning with climatological late-August norms for the region. The market-implied odds reflect real-time assimilation of satellite, surface, and upper-air data showing limited cooling potential before evening. A realistic challenge would require either earlier arrival of a stronger cold pool from convective outflow or a sharper increase in cloud cover and rainfall rates than currently forecast, both of which could cap the official maximum below 33°C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया30 अगस्त को बुसान में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
33°C 99.4%
34°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$33,359 वॉल्यूम
$33,359 वॉल्यूम
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
99%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
33°C 99.4%
34°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$33,359 वॉल्यूम
$33,359 वॉल्यूम
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
99%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign overwhelming probability to a 33°C peak in Busan on August 30 because operational numerical weather prediction models, including those from the Korea Meteorological Administration, consistently indicate daytime maxima near this threshold under southwesterly flow and high dew points near 27°C. These conditions favor strong surface heating despite scattered thunderstorm activity, aligning with climatological late-August norms for the region. The market-implied odds reflect real-time assimilation of satellite, surface, and upper-air data showing limited cooling potential before evening. A realistic challenge would require either earlier arrival of a stronger cold pool from convective outflow or a sharper increase in cloud cover and rainfall rates than currently forecast, both of which could cap the official maximum below 33°C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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