Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models highlight a subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Sichuan basin as the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring 37–39 °C, with 37 °C holding the highest probability at 22.5 %. High humidity, typical of July’s East Asian monsoon regime, limits nocturnal cooling while daytime insolation and light winds promote rapid warming, yet scattered afternoon convection and variable cloud cover create the tight spread across 36–39 °C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh recent model runs showing slight cooling from increased moisture against climatological peaks near 35 °C, with new short-range guidance expected within 24 hours likely to sharpen resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया14 जुलाई को चेंगदू में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
14 जुलाई को चेंगदू में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
39°C 35%
38°C 32%
37°C 14%
40°C 8.8%
नया
$20,729 वॉल्यूम
नया
$20,729 वॉल्यूम
14 जुल, 2026
34°C या उससे कम
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
3%
37°C
14%
38°C
32%
39°C
35%
40°C
9%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
39°C 35%
38°C 32%
37°C 14%
40°C 8.8%
नया
$20,729 वॉल्यूम
नया
$20,729 वॉल्यूम
14 जुल, 2026
34°C या उससे कम
$2,903 वॉल्यूम
<1%
35°C
$2,561 वॉल्यूम
1%
36°C
$3,076 वॉल्यूम
3%
37°C
$1,979 वॉल्यूम
14%
38°C
$1,342 वॉल्यूम
32%
39°C
$2,066 वॉल्यूम
35%
40°C
$2,338 वॉल्यूम
9%
41°C
$2,262 वॉल्यूम
1%
42°C
$1,705 वॉल्यूम
<1%
43°C
$217 वॉल्यूम
<1%
44°C या उससे अधिक
$380 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models highlight a subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Sichuan basin as the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring 37–39 °C, with 37 °C holding the highest probability at 22.5 %. High humidity, typical of July’s East Asian monsoon regime, limits nocturnal cooling while daytime insolation and light winds promote rapid warming, yet scattered afternoon convection and variable cloud cover create the tight spread across 36–39 °C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh recent model runs showing slight cooling from increased moisture against climatological peaks near 35 °C, with new short-range guidance expected within 24 hours likely to sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$20,729समाप्ति तिथि
14 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models highlight a subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Sichuan basin as the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring 37–39 °C, with 37 °C holding the highest probability at 22.5 %. High humidity, typical of July’s East Asian monsoon regime, limits nocturnal cooling while daytime insolation and light winds promote rapid warming, yet scattered afternoon convection and variable cloud cover create the tight spread across 36–39 °C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh recent model runs showing slight cooling from increased moisture against climatological peaks near 35 °C, with new short-range guidance expected within 24 hours likely to sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$20,729समाप्ति तिथि
14 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models highlight a subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Sichuan basin as the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring 37–39 °C, with 37 °C holding the highest probability at 22.5 %. High humidity, typical of July’s East Asian monsoon regime, limits nocturnal cooling while daytime insolation and light winds promote rapid warming, yet scattered afternoon convection and variable cloud cover create the tight spread across 36–39 °C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh recent model runs showing slight cooling from increased moisture against climatological peaks near 35 °C, with new short-range guidance expected within 24 hours likely to sharpen resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न