Latest ensemble forecasts from multiple models highlight persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Chengdu on September 23 as the main factor capping highs near 24–27°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds across those outcomes. Reduced solar insolation from overcast skies and evaporative cooling from precipitation limit daytime warming in the Sichuan basin during this transitional autumn period. Model differences in cloud thickness, wind patterns, and any late-day clearing introduce the 1–2°C spread separating the leading probabilities, while historical September maxima average around 25°C. Updated runs from major agencies and official monitoring briefings in the next 24–48 hours represent the key data points that could shift trader consensus.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया23 सितंबर को चेंगदू में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
23 सितंबर को चेंगदू में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
27°C 25%
26°C 22%
24°C 21%
25°C 21%
नया
नया
23 सित, 2026
21°C या उससे कम
<1%
22°C
15%
23°C
17%
24°C
21%
25°C
16%
26°C
22%
27°C
25%
28°C
19%
29°C
16%
30°C
2%
31°C या अधिक
<1%
27°C 25%
26°C 22%
24°C 21%
25°C 21%
नया
नया
23 सित, 2026
21°C या उससे कम
$116 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
15%
23°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
17%
24°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
21%
25°C
$15 वॉल्यूम
16%
26°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
22%
27°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
25%
28°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
19%
29°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
16%
30°C
$160 वॉल्यूम
2%
31°C या अधिक
$116 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from multiple models highlight persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Chengdu on September 23 as the main factor capping highs near 24–27°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds across those outcomes. Reduced solar insolation from overcast skies and evaporative cooling from precipitation limit daytime warming in the Sichuan basin during this transitional autumn period. Model differences in cloud thickness, wind patterns, and any late-day clearing introduce the 1–2°C spread separating the leading probabilities, while historical September maxima average around 25°C. Updated runs from major agencies and official monitoring briefings in the next 24–48 hours represent the key data points that could shift trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$442समाप्ति तिथि
23 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from multiple models highlight persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Chengdu on September 23 as the main factor capping highs near 24–27°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds across those outcomes. Reduced solar insolation from overcast skies and evaporative cooling from precipitation limit daytime warming in the Sichuan basin during this transitional autumn period. Model differences in cloud thickness, wind patterns, and any late-day clearing introduce the 1–2°C spread separating the leading probabilities, while historical September maxima average around 25°C. Updated runs from major agencies and official monitoring briefings in the next 24–48 hours represent the key data points that could shift trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$442समाप्ति तिथि
23 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from multiple models highlight persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Chengdu on September 23 as the main factor capping highs near 24–27°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds across those outcomes. Reduced solar insolation from overcast skies and evaporative cooling from precipitation limit daytime warming in the Sichuan basin during this transitional autumn period. Model differences in cloud thickness, wind patterns, and any late-day clearing introduce the 1–2°C spread separating the leading probabilities, while historical September maxima average around 25°C. Updated runs from major agencies and official monitoring briefings in the next 24–48 hours represent the key data points that could shift trader consensus.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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