Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a building ridge of high pressure and southerly flow advecting warmer air into the Chicago area, positioning 96–97 °F as the most probable daily maximum at official stations. Ensemble forecasts cluster in the mid- to upper-90s, with modest spread arising from uncertainties in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds on the 15th. Historical July normals near 85 °F underscore the anomalous warmth, while the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 94–99 °F reflects trader assessment of these short-range model differences and the limited time remaining before observations finalize the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 जुलाई को शिकागो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
96-97°F 34%
98-99°F 25%
94-95°F 21%
100-101°F 9%
89°F या इससे कम
1%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
22%
96-97°F
34%
98-99°F
25%
100-101°F
9%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F या अधिक
<1%
96-97°F 34%
98-99°F 25%
94-95°F 21%
100-101°F 9%
89°F या इससे कम
1%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
22%
96-97°F
34%
98-99°F
25%
100-101°F
9%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F या अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a building ridge of high pressure and southerly flow advecting warmer air into the Chicago area, positioning 96–97 °F as the most probable daily maximum at official stations. Ensemble forecasts cluster in the mid- to upper-90s, with modest spread arising from uncertainties in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds on the 15th. Historical July normals near 85 °F underscore the anomalous warmth, while the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 94–99 °F reflects trader assessment of these short-range model differences and the limited time remaining before observations finalize the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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