**Trader consensus on Guangzhou’s August 6 high centers on 36–37 °C because numerical weather models and recent observations place the most likely daily maximum in that narrow band.** Subtropical monsoon conditions, with high dew points near 26 °C and light steering winds, favor strong daytime heating unless afternoon convection develops. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread: drier runs allow surface temperatures to reach 37 °C, while scattered showers or increased cloud cover cap readings near 36 °C. Historical August climatology (long-term mean high ~33–34 °C) already incorporates a warming trend, yet day-to-day variability from the position of the western Pacific subtropical high and any short-wave troughs keeps the outcome finely balanced. Updated CMA and global model runs issued in the next 12–24 hours will be the key catalyst that could shift implied probabilities between the two leading bins.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया6 अगस्त को गुआंगज़ौ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
37°C 39%
36°C 33%
35°C 13%
38°C 9%
$20,069 वॉल्यूम
$20,069 वॉल्यूम
29°C या उससे कम
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
4%
35°C
13%
36°C
33%
37°C
39%
38°C
9%
39°C या उससे अधिक
2%
37°C 39%
36°C 33%
35°C 13%
38°C 9%
$20,069 वॉल्यूम
$20,069 वॉल्यूम
29°C या उससे कम
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
4%
35°C
13%
36°C
33%
37°C
39%
38°C
9%
39°C या उससे अधिक
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on Guangzhou’s August 6 high centers on 36–37 °C because numerical weather models and recent observations place the most likely daily maximum in that narrow band.** Subtropical monsoon conditions, with high dew points near 26 °C and light steering winds, favor strong daytime heating unless afternoon convection develops. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread: drier runs allow surface temperatures to reach 37 °C, while scattered showers or increased cloud cover cap readings near 36 °C. Historical August climatology (long-term mean high ~33–34 °C) already incorporates a warming trend, yet day-to-day variability from the position of the western Pacific subtropical high and any short-wave troughs keeps the outcome finely balanced. Updated CMA and global model runs issued in the next 12–24 hours will be the key catalyst that could shift implied probabilities between the two leading bins.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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