Official meteorological observations from the UK Met Office confirm a daily maximum temperature of 20°C across London monitoring stations on May 20, anchoring the market-implied probability at 100% for that exact outcome. This reading stems from stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow that limited daytime warming to near the long-term May average of 18–20°C for the region. Forecast models issued 24–48 hours earlier had converged on similar values, reducing uncertainty ahead of the observation window. While post-event quality checks at stations like Heathrow or St James’s Park could theoretically adjust the figure by a fraction of a degree, shifts large enough to alter resolution thresholds remain statistically rare.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in London on May 20?
17°C <1%
$135,465 वॉल्यूम
$135,465 वॉल्यूम
17°C
<1%
17°C <1%
$135,465 वॉल्यूम
$135,465 वॉल्यूम
17°C
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 18, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Official meteorological observations from the UK Met Office confirm a daily maximum temperature of 20°C across London monitoring stations on May 20, anchoring the market-implied probability at 100% for that exact outcome. This reading stems from stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow that limited daytime warming to near the long-term May average of 18–20°C for the region. Forecast models issued 24–48 hours earlier had converged on similar values, reducing uncertainty ahead of the observation window. While post-event quality checks at stations like Heathrow or St James’s Park could theoretically adjust the figure by a fraction of a degree, shifts large enough to alter resolution thresholds remain statistically rare.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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