**Trader consensus in the Madrid temperature market favors 30–31°C as the day's maximum, with implied probabilities of 38% and 58.5% respectively.** Recent model runs and official guidance from agencies such as AEMET and the Met Office indicate a rebound from the unusually cool 21–25°C high recorded on August 28—the lowest for the month in the 21st century—to a peak near 29–30°C on the 29th under clear, sunny skies with light southerly or southwesterly winds. Low humidity, minimal cloud cover, and stable high-pressure patterns support modest daytime warming without significant advection of warmer air masses. Historical late-August averages hover around 30.5°C, providing climatological context, while the absence of strong model spread or incoming fronts keeps probabilities tightly clustered around the 30–31°C thresholds. Updated forecasts and real-time observations through the afternoon will be the key near-term drivers.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया29 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
29 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
31°C 59%
30°C 39%
32°C 4%
29°C 2%
नया
$17,731 वॉल्यूम
नया
$17,731 वॉल्यूम
29 अग, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
39%
31°C
59%
32°C
4%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 59%
30°C 39%
32°C 4%
29°C 2%
नया
$17,731 वॉल्यूम
नया
$17,731 वॉल्यूम
29 अग, 2026
25°C or below
$638 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$321 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$687 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$787 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C
$1,945 वॉल्यूम
2%
30°C
$4,339 वॉल्यूम
39%
31°C
$4,587 वॉल्यूम
59%
32°C
$1,926 वॉल्यूम
4%
33°C
$1,636 वॉल्यूम
<1%
34°C
$608 वॉल्यूम
<1%
35°C or higher
$273 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in the Madrid temperature market favors 30–31°C as the day's maximum, with implied probabilities of 38% and 58.5% respectively.** Recent model runs and official guidance from agencies such as AEMET and the Met Office indicate a rebound from the unusually cool 21–25°C high recorded on August 28—the lowest for the month in the 21st century—to a peak near 29–30°C on the 29th under clear, sunny skies with light southerly or southwesterly winds. Low humidity, minimal cloud cover, and stable high-pressure patterns support modest daytime warming without significant advection of warmer air masses. Historical late-August averages hover around 30.5°C, providing climatological context, while the absence of strong model spread or incoming fronts keeps probabilities tightly clustered around the 30–31°C thresholds. Updated forecasts and real-time observations through the afternoon will be the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$17,731समाप्ति तिथि
29 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in the Madrid temperature market favors 30–31°C as the day's maximum, with implied probabilities of 38% and 58.5% respectively.** Recent model runs and official guidance from agencies such as AEMET and the Met Office indicate a rebound from the unusually cool 21–25°C high recorded on August 28—the lowest for the month in the 21st century—to a peak near 29–30°C on the 29th under clear, sunny skies with light southerly or southwesterly winds. Low humidity, minimal cloud cover, and stable high-pressure patterns support modest daytime warming without significant advection of warmer air masses. Historical late-August averages hover around 30.5°C, providing climatological context, while the absence of strong model spread or incoming fronts keeps probabilities tightly clustered around the 30–31°C thresholds. Updated forecasts and real-time observations through the afternoon will be the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$17,731समाप्ति तिथि
29 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus in the Madrid temperature market favors 30–31°C as the day's maximum, with implied probabilities of 38% and 58.5% respectively.** Recent model runs and official guidance from agencies such as AEMET and the Met Office indicate a rebound from the unusually cool 21–25°C high recorded on August 28—the lowest for the month in the 21st century—to a peak near 29–30°C on the 29th under clear, sunny skies with light southerly or southwesterly winds. Low humidity, minimal cloud cover, and stable high-pressure patterns support modest daytime warming without significant advection of warmer air masses. Historical late-August averages hover around 30.5°C, providing climatological context, while the absence of strong model spread or incoming fronts keeps probabilities tightly clustered around the 30–31°C thresholds. Updated forecasts and real-time observations through the afternoon will be the key near-term drivers.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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