The third official heatwave of 2026, driven by a surge of Saharan air under persistent high pressure and clear skies, anchors trader focus on 38–40°C for Madrid’s July 23 maximum. AEMET and ECMWF ensemble guidance shows stable deterministic runs centered near 38°C, with limited Saharan advection compared to June’s extremes and daily highs tracking 33–39°C through late July. This consensus, set against climatological July averages near 37°C, explains the heavy weighting toward 39°C and 38°C outcomes while leaving modest room for 40°C if advection strengthens. Final model updates and official observations on the day remain the key near-term variables.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया23 जुलाई को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
23 जुलाई को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
39°C 40%
38°C 31%
40°C 20%
37°C 6.0%
नया
नया
23 जुल, 2026
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
2%
37°C
6%
38°C
31%
39°C
40%
40°C
20%
41°C
4%
42°C
<1%
43°C
1%
44°C or higher
<1%
39°C 40%
38°C 31%
40°C 20%
37°C 6.0%
नया
नया
23 जुल, 2026
34°C or below
$801 वॉल्यूम
<1%
35°C
$162 वॉल्यूम
1%
36°C
$112 वॉल्यूम
2%
37°C
$156 वॉल्यूम
6%
38°C
$298 वॉल्यूम
31%
39°C
$252 वॉल्यूम
40%
40°C
$824 वॉल्यूम
20%
41°C
$129 वॉल्यूम
4%
42°C
$213 वॉल्यूम
<1%
43°C
$207 वॉल्यूम
1%
44°C or higher
$201 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The third official heatwave of 2026, driven by a surge of Saharan air under persistent high pressure and clear skies, anchors trader focus on 38–40°C for Madrid’s July 23 maximum. AEMET and ECMWF ensemble guidance shows stable deterministic runs centered near 38°C, with limited Saharan advection compared to June’s extremes and daily highs tracking 33–39°C through late July. This consensus, set against climatological July averages near 37°C, explains the heavy weighting toward 39°C and 38°C outcomes while leaving modest room for 40°C if advection strengthens. Final model updates and official observations on the day remain the key near-term variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,343समाप्ति तिथि
23 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The third official heatwave of 2026, driven by a surge of Saharan air under persistent high pressure and clear skies, anchors trader focus on 38–40°C for Madrid’s July 23 maximum. AEMET and ECMWF ensemble guidance shows stable deterministic runs centered near 38°C, with limited Saharan advection compared to June’s extremes and daily highs tracking 33–39°C through late July. This consensus, set against climatological July averages near 37°C, explains the heavy weighting toward 39°C and 38°C outcomes while leaving modest room for 40°C if advection strengthens. Final model updates and official observations on the day remain the key near-term variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$3,343समाप्ति तिथि
23 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The third official heatwave of 2026, driven by a surge of Saharan air under persistent high pressure and clear skies, anchors trader focus on 38–40°C for Madrid’s July 23 maximum. AEMET and ECMWF ensemble guidance shows stable deterministic runs centered near 38°C, with limited Saharan advection compared to June’s extremes and daily highs tracking 33–39°C through late July. This consensus, set against climatological July averages near 37°C, explains the heavy weighting toward 39°C and 38°C outcomes while leaving modest room for 40°C if advection strengthens. Final model updates and official observations on the day remain the key near-term variables.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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