Recent forecasts from numerical weather prediction models, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, indicate Madrid will likely experience peak temperatures of 36–37°C on June 19 under a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and light winds. Ensemble spreads and minor differences in simulated cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds between these two outcomes, with 36°C slightly favored. Historical June climatology for the region, with average highs near 28–30°C rising under current above-normal conditions, supports the elevated range, while the short two-day lead time limits further sharpening of probabilities ahead of updated runs and official AEMET guidance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Madrid on June 19?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 19?
36°C 46%
37°C 36%
35°C 9%
38°C 7%
नया
नया
19 जून, 2026
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
5%
35°C
9%
36°C
46%
37°C
36%
38°C
7%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
36°C 46%
37°C 36%
35°C 9%
38°C 7%
नया
नया
19 जून, 2026
33°C or below
$530 वॉल्यूम
<1%
34°C
$2,025 वॉल्यूम
5%
35°C
$1,278 वॉल्यूम
9%
36°C
$1,395 वॉल्यूम
46%
37°C
$809 वॉल्यूम
36%
38°C
$1,180 वॉल्यूम
7%
39°C
$478 वॉल्यूम
<1%
40°C
$356 वॉल्यूम
<1%
41°C
$150 वॉल्यूम
<1%
42°C
$150 वॉल्यूम
<1%
43°C or higher
$306 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from numerical weather prediction models, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, indicate Madrid will likely experience peak temperatures of 36–37°C on June 19 under a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and light winds. Ensemble spreads and minor differences in simulated cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds between these two outcomes, with 36°C slightly favored. Historical June climatology for the region, with average highs near 28–30°C rising under current above-normal conditions, supports the elevated range, while the short two-day lead time limits further sharpening of probabilities ahead of updated runs and official AEMET guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 17, 2026, 3:17 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$8,658समाप्ति तिथि
19 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 17, 2026, 3:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from numerical weather prediction models, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, indicate Madrid will likely experience peak temperatures of 36–37°C on June 19 under a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and light winds. Ensemble spreads and minor differences in simulated cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds between these two outcomes, with 36°C slightly favored. Historical June climatology for the region, with average highs near 28–30°C rising under current above-normal conditions, supports the elevated range, while the short two-day lead time limits further sharpening of probabilities ahead of updated runs and official AEMET guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$8,658समाप्ति तिथि
19 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 17, 2026, 3:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from numerical weather prediction models, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, indicate Madrid will likely experience peak temperatures of 36–37°C on June 19 under a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and light winds. Ensemble spreads and minor differences in simulated cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds between these two outcomes, with 36°C slightly favored. Historical June climatology for the region, with average highs near 28–30°C rising under current above-normal conditions, supports the elevated range, while the short two-day lead time limits further sharpening of probabilities ahead of updated runs and official AEMET guidance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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