Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate mostly sunny conditions with light northwest winds and minimal cloud cover for New York City on June 20, supporting afternoon highs near the seasonal average of 81°F at Central Park. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing depth and any residual moisture from upstream convection, which could add or subtract 2–4°F depending on model resolution. With leading market-implied probabilities clustered tightly between 80–85°F, traders appear to be weighting the spread in short-range guidance from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, where small differences in 500-hPa ridge placement produce the observed outcome distribution. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया20 जून को NYC में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
20 जून को NYC में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
82-83°F 49%
80-81°F 24%
84-85°F 23%
86-87°F 5%
नया
$15,388 वॉल्यूम
नया
$15,388 वॉल्यूम
20 जून, 2026
75°F या उससे कम
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
23%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F या उससे अधिक
<1%
82-83°F 49%
80-81°F 24%
84-85°F 23%
86-87°F 5%
नया
$15,388 वॉल्यूम
नया
$15,388 वॉल्यूम
20 जून, 2026
75°F या उससे कम
$1,326 वॉल्यूम
<1%
76-77°F
$1,978 वॉल्यूम
1%
78-79°F
$1,420 वॉल्यूम
4%
80-81°F
$1,981 वॉल्यूम
24%
82-83°F
$2,552 वॉल्यूम
49%
84-85°F
$2,377 वॉल्यूम
23%
86-87°F
$1,718 वॉल्यूम
5%
88-89°F
$483 वॉल्यूम
1%
90-91°F
$654 वॉल्यूम
<1%
92-93°F
$425 वॉल्यूम
<1%
94°F या उससे अधिक
$475 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate mostly sunny conditions with light northwest winds and minimal cloud cover for New York City on June 20, supporting afternoon highs near the seasonal average of 81°F at Central Park. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing depth and any residual moisture from upstream convection, which could add or subtract 2–4°F depending on model resolution. With leading market-implied probabilities clustered tightly between 80–85°F, traders appear to be weighting the spread in short-range guidance from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, where small differences in 500-hPa ridge placement produce the observed outcome distribution. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$15,388समाप्ति तिथि
20 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate mostly sunny conditions with light northwest winds and minimal cloud cover for New York City on June 20, supporting afternoon highs near the seasonal average of 81°F at Central Park. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing depth and any residual moisture from upstream convection, which could add or subtract 2–4°F depending on model resolution. With leading market-implied probabilities clustered tightly between 80–85°F, traders appear to be weighting the spread in short-range guidance from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, where small differences in 500-hPa ridge placement produce the observed outcome distribution. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$15,388समाप्ति तिथि
20 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate mostly sunny conditions with light northwest winds and minimal cloud cover for New York City on June 20, supporting afternoon highs near the seasonal average of 81°F at Central Park. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing depth and any residual moisture from upstream convection, which could add or subtract 2–4°F depending on model resolution. With leading market-implied probabilities clustered tightly between 80–85°F, traders appear to be weighting the spread in short-range guidance from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, where small differences in 500-hPa ridge placement produce the observed outcome distribution. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न