Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a sharp cooling trend for Paris on August 19 driven by the arrival of cooler maritime air masses and increasing cloud cover with showers, following a brief heatwave peaking near 30°C on August 18. This advection and reduced solar insolation under unsettled conditions favor a daily maximum in the 23–25°C range, aligning with market-implied odds clustering around 24°C (26%) and 23°C (22%). Ensemble spread in short-range guidance creates the tight competition between these bins, while the lower probabilities for 26°C+ reflect limited warm-air advection and potential for afternoon convection to cap peaks. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine whether boundary-layer mixing or timing of rain shifts the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया19 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
19 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
24°C 26%
23°C 22%
26°C 16%
25°C 15%
नया
$13,591 वॉल्यूम
नया
$13,591 वॉल्यूम
19 अग, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
8%
23°C
22%
24°C
26%
25°C
15%
26°C
16%
27°C
10%
28°C
8%
29°C or higher
6%
24°C 26%
23°C 22%
26°C 16%
25°C 15%
नया
$13,591 वॉल्यूम
नया
$13,591 वॉल्यूम
19 अग, 2026
19°C or below
$328 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C
$475 वॉल्यूम
1%
21°C
$643 वॉल्यूम
3%
22°C
$1,195 वॉल्यूम
8%
23°C
$1,345 वॉल्यूम
22%
24°C
$1,136 वॉल्यूम
26%
25°C
$735 वॉल्यूम
15%
26°C
$914 वॉल्यूम
16%
27°C
$1,591 वॉल्यूम
10%
28°C
$2,485 वॉल्यूम
8%
29°C or higher
$2,755 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a sharp cooling trend for Paris on August 19 driven by the arrival of cooler maritime air masses and increasing cloud cover with showers, following a brief heatwave peaking near 30°C on August 18. This advection and reduced solar insolation under unsettled conditions favor a daily maximum in the 23–25°C range, aligning with market-implied odds clustering around 24°C (26%) and 23°C (22%). Ensemble spread in short-range guidance creates the tight competition between these bins, while the lower probabilities for 26°C+ reflect limited warm-air advection and potential for afternoon convection to cap peaks. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine whether boundary-layer mixing or timing of rain shifts the outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$13,591समाप्ति तिथि
19 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a sharp cooling trend for Paris on August 19 driven by the arrival of cooler maritime air masses and increasing cloud cover with showers, following a brief heatwave peaking near 30°C on August 18. This advection and reduced solar insolation under unsettled conditions favor a daily maximum in the 23–25°C range, aligning with market-implied odds clustering around 24°C (26%) and 23°C (22%). Ensemble spread in short-range guidance creates the tight competition between these bins, while the lower probabilities for 26°C+ reflect limited warm-air advection and potential for afternoon convection to cap peaks. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine whether boundary-layer mixing or timing of rain shifts the outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$13,591समाप्ति तिथि
19 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a sharp cooling trend for Paris on August 19 driven by the arrival of cooler maritime air masses and increasing cloud cover with showers, following a brief heatwave peaking near 30°C on August 18. This advection and reduced solar insolation under unsettled conditions favor a daily maximum in the 23–25°C range, aligning with market-implied odds clustering around 24°C (26%) and 23°C (22%). Ensemble spread in short-range guidance creates the tight competition between these bins, while the lower probabilities for 26°C+ reflect limited warm-air advection and potential for afternoon convection to cap peaks. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine whether boundary-layer mixing or timing of rain shifts the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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