Recent forecast guidance from models including ECMWF and GFS indicates a modest warming trend for Qingdao on June 18 driven by a high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula that could weaken typical Yellow Sea onshore flow and allow warmer, drier air advection from inland Shandong. This setup supports the market's leading implied probability for 31°C or higher (39.5%), while the combined weight on 29–30°C outcomes (53%) reflects model consensus hovering near or slightly above the June climatological average high of 25–28°C. Coastal moderation and possible cloud cover or light precipitation keep lower bins (28°C or below) at under 12% combined, though late updates to steering patterns or sea-breeze timing could still shift the maximum by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders are weighting near-term model runs and historical analogs of ridge-driven heat events in mid-June.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 जून को क़िंगदाओ में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
31°C या उससे अधिक 40%
30°C 27%
29°C 26%
28°C 8%
21°C या उससे कम
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
8%
29°C
26%
30°C
27%
31°C या उससे अधिक
40%
31°C या उससे अधिक 40%
30°C 27%
29°C 26%
28°C 8%
21°C या उससे कम
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
8%
29°C
26%
30°C
27%
31°C या उससे अधिक
40%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from models including ECMWF and GFS indicates a modest warming trend for Qingdao on June 18 driven by a high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula that could weaken typical Yellow Sea onshore flow and allow warmer, drier air advection from inland Shandong. This setup supports the market's leading implied probability for 31°C or higher (39.5%), while the combined weight on 29–30°C outcomes (53%) reflects model consensus hovering near or slightly above the June climatological average high of 25–28°C. Coastal moderation and possible cloud cover or light precipitation keep lower bins (28°C or below) at under 12% combined, though late updates to steering patterns or sea-breeze timing could still shift the maximum by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders are weighting near-term model runs and historical analogs of ridge-driven heat events in mid-June.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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