Persistent marine layer conditions, currently deepened to 800–1,000 feet with lingering stratus per National Weather Service observations, are the main driver keeping San Francisco’s August 3 high temperature expectations clustered in the mid-70s. Onshore flow and a compressed inversion limit daytime warming despite seasonal peaks near 70°F climatology, with model consensus favoring 74–77°F outcomes that together hold over 54% market-implied probability. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on exact marine-layer depth, sea-breeze timing, and 850 mb temperatures, which recent soundings show remain cool enough to cap highs below 80°F in most scenarios. Weak frontal influences noted in the latest forecast discussion introduce minor upside risk but are unlikely to overcome coastal cooling before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3 अगस्त को सैन फ़्रांसिस्को में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
3 अगस्त को सैन फ़्रांसिस्को में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
76-77°F 30%
74-75°F 25%
78-79°F 20%
80-81°F 13%
नया
नया
3 अग, 2026
69°F या इससे कम
2%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
30%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88°F या उससे अधिक
2%
76-77°F 30%
74-75°F 25%
78-79°F 20%
80-81°F 13%
नया
नया
3 अग, 2026
69°F या इससे कम
$10 वॉल्यूम
2%
70-71°F
$6 वॉल्यूम
2%
72-73°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
12%
74-75°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
25%
76-77°F
$20 वॉल्यूम
30%
78-79°F
$45 वॉल्यूम
20%
80-81°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
13%
82-83°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
6%
84-85°F
$32 वॉल्यूम
1%
86-87°F
$10 वॉल्यूम
2%
88°F या उससे अधिक
$10 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer conditions, currently deepened to 800–1,000 feet with lingering stratus per National Weather Service observations, are the main driver keeping San Francisco’s August 3 high temperature expectations clustered in the mid-70s. Onshore flow and a compressed inversion limit daytime warming despite seasonal peaks near 70°F climatology, with model consensus favoring 74–77°F outcomes that together hold over 54% market-implied probability. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on exact marine-layer depth, sea-breeze timing, and 850 mb temperatures, which recent soundings show remain cool enough to cap highs below 80°F in most scenarios. Weak frontal influences noted in the latest forecast discussion introduce minor upside risk but are unlikely to overcome coastal cooling before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$133समाप्ति तिथि
3 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer conditions, currently deepened to 800–1,000 feet with lingering stratus per National Weather Service observations, are the main driver keeping San Francisco’s August 3 high temperature expectations clustered in the mid-70s. Onshore flow and a compressed inversion limit daytime warming despite seasonal peaks near 70°F climatology, with model consensus favoring 74–77°F outcomes that together hold over 54% market-implied probability. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on exact marine-layer depth, sea-breeze timing, and 850 mb temperatures, which recent soundings show remain cool enough to cap highs below 80°F in most scenarios. Weak frontal influences noted in the latest forecast discussion introduce minor upside risk but are unlikely to overcome coastal cooling before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$133समाप्ति तिथि
3 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETPersistent marine layer conditions, currently deepened to 800–1,000 feet with lingering stratus per National Weather Service observations, are the main driver keeping San Francisco’s August 3 high temperature expectations clustered in the mid-70s. Onshore flow and a compressed inversion limit daytime warming despite seasonal peaks near 70°F climatology, with model consensus favoring 74–77°F outcomes that together hold over 54% market-implied probability. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on exact marine-layer depth, sea-breeze timing, and 850 mb temperatures, which recent soundings show remain cool enough to cap highs below 80°F in most scenarios. Weak frontal influences noted in the latest forecast discussion introduce minor upside risk but are unlikely to overcome coastal cooling before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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