Recent thundershowers and increased cloud cover tied to regional moisture influx are the main drivers keeping trader consensus centered on 29–31°C for Shanghai’s August 11 high, with 30°C leading at 37.5% implied probability. Official guidance highlights humid subtropical conditions where daytime solar heating is moderated by persistent overcast skies and scattered precipitation, limiting peaks below the month’s typical 32–35°C climatology. Model runs show limited spread around these values, reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity that could either enhance or suppress the diurnal temperature range. New forecast updates from regional meteorological centers in the next 24–48 hours will provide the next key data point for refining these market-implied odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया11 अगस्त को शंघाई में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
11 अगस्त को शंघाई में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
30°C 38%
29°C 31%
31°C 16%
28°C 6%
नया
नया
11 अग, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
31%
30°C
38%
31°C
16%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 38%
29°C 31%
31°C 16%
28°C 6%
नया
नया
11 अग, 2026
23°C or below
$371 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$371 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$137 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$135 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$412 वॉल्यूम
3%
28°C
$806 वॉल्यूम
6%
29°C
$283 वॉल्यूम
31%
30°C
$301 वॉल्यूम
38%
31°C
$196 वॉल्यूम
16%
32°C
$70 वॉल्यूम
5%
33°C or higher
$141 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent thundershowers and increased cloud cover tied to regional moisture influx are the main drivers keeping trader consensus centered on 29–31°C for Shanghai’s August 11 high, with 30°C leading at 37.5% implied probability. Official guidance highlights humid subtropical conditions where daytime solar heating is moderated by persistent overcast skies and scattered precipitation, limiting peaks below the month’s typical 32–35°C climatology. Model runs show limited spread around these values, reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity that could either enhance or suppress the diurnal temperature range. New forecast updates from regional meteorological centers in the next 24–48 hours will provide the next key data point for refining these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,223समाप्ति तिथि
11 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent thundershowers and increased cloud cover tied to regional moisture influx are the main drivers keeping trader consensus centered on 29–31°C for Shanghai’s August 11 high, with 30°C leading at 37.5% implied probability. Official guidance highlights humid subtropical conditions where daytime solar heating is moderated by persistent overcast skies and scattered precipitation, limiting peaks below the month’s typical 32–35°C climatology. Model runs show limited spread around these values, reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity that could either enhance or suppress the diurnal temperature range. New forecast updates from regional meteorological centers in the next 24–48 hours will provide the next key data point for refining these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$3,223समाप्ति तिथि
11 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent thundershowers and increased cloud cover tied to regional moisture influx are the main drivers keeping trader consensus centered on 29–31°C for Shanghai’s August 11 high, with 30°C leading at 37.5% implied probability. Official guidance highlights humid subtropical conditions where daytime solar heating is moderated by persistent overcast skies and scattered precipitation, limiting peaks below the month’s typical 32–35°C climatology. Model runs show limited spread around these values, reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity that could either enhance or suppress the diurnal temperature range. New forecast updates from regional meteorological centers in the next 24–48 hours will provide the next key data point for refining these market-implied odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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