Cloud cover and scattered showers from Shanghai’s ongoing Meiyu (plum rain) season are suppressing daytime heating, anchoring the highest temperature near 27–29 °C. Persistent stratiform clouds limit incoming solar radiation while evaporative cooling from precipitation keeps surface energy budgets modest, producing the tight 36.5 %–35.5 % market split between 28 °C and 27 °C. Minor differences in convective timing or breaks in overcast can shift the peak by 1 °C, which is why 29 °C still commands 19.5 % implied probability. Official guidance from regional models shows no strong warming signal today, keeping higher outcomes below 6 % and reinforcing trader focus on the narrow 27–29 °C band.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 18?
27°C 39%
28°C 37%
29°C 14%
26°C 7.0%
$53,522 वॉल्यूम
$53,522 वॉल्यूम
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
39%
28°C
37%
29°C
14%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
27°C 39%
28°C 37%
29°C 14%
26°C 7.0%
$53,522 वॉल्यूम
$53,522 वॉल्यूम
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
39%
28°C
37%
29°C
14%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Cloud cover and scattered showers from Shanghai’s ongoing Meiyu (plum rain) season are suppressing daytime heating, anchoring the highest temperature near 27–29 °C. Persistent stratiform clouds limit incoming solar radiation while evaporative cooling from precipitation keeps surface energy budgets modest, producing the tight 36.5 %–35.5 % market split between 28 °C and 27 °C. Minor differences in convective timing or breaks in overcast can shift the peak by 1 °C, which is why 29 °C still commands 19.5 % implied probability. Official guidance from regional models shows no strong warming signal today, keeping higher outcomes below 6 % and reinforcing trader focus on the narrow 27–29 °C band.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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