Recent JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate persistent cloud cover over Tokyo on August 3, with only scattered showers possible, limiting daytime heating compared to typical midsummer maxima near 32 °C. This pattern, driven by a stationary front and moist southerly flow, has shifted model consensus toward afternoon highs of 26–28 °C, aligning with the market’s heaviest positioning on those outcomes. Historical analogs for similar synoptic setups show maximum temperatures rarely exceeding 29 °C under overcast conditions, while clearer scenarios remain low-probability given the current steering pattern. Updated short-range guidance and any clearing trends ahead of resolution will be the key variables for traders monitoring this market.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
3 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
27°C 38%
26°C 25%
28°C 25%
29°C 9%
नया
नया
3 अग, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
25%
27°C
38%
28°C
25%
29°C
9%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 38%
26°C 25%
28°C 25%
29°C 9%
नया
नया
3 अग, 2026
22°C or below
$356 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$356 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$754 वॉल्यूम
2%
25°C
$96 वॉल्यूम
6%
26°C
$400 वॉल्यूम
25%
27°C
$677 वॉल्यूम
38%
28°C
$103 वॉल्यूम
25%
29°C
$78 वॉल्यूम
9%
30°C
$135 वॉल्यूम
4%
31°C
$291 वॉल्यूम
1%
32°C or higher
$251 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate persistent cloud cover over Tokyo on August 3, with only scattered showers possible, limiting daytime heating compared to typical midsummer maxima near 32 °C. This pattern, driven by a stationary front and moist southerly flow, has shifted model consensus toward afternoon highs of 26–28 °C, aligning with the market’s heaviest positioning on those outcomes. Historical analogs for similar synoptic setups show maximum temperatures rarely exceeding 29 °C under overcast conditions, while clearer scenarios remain low-probability given the current steering pattern. Updated short-range guidance and any clearing trends ahead of resolution will be the key variables for traders monitoring this market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,497समाप्ति तिथि
3 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate persistent cloud cover over Tokyo on August 3, with only scattered showers possible, limiting daytime heating compared to typical midsummer maxima near 32 °C. This pattern, driven by a stationary front and moist southerly flow, has shifted model consensus toward afternoon highs of 26–28 °C, aligning with the market’s heaviest positioning on those outcomes. Historical analogs for similar synoptic setups show maximum temperatures rarely exceeding 29 °C under overcast conditions, while clearer scenarios remain low-probability given the current steering pattern. Updated short-range guidance and any clearing trends ahead of resolution will be the key variables for traders monitoring this market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$3,497समाप्ति तिथि
3 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate persistent cloud cover over Tokyo on August 3, with only scattered showers possible, limiting daytime heating compared to typical midsummer maxima near 32 °C. This pattern, driven by a stationary front and moist southerly flow, has shifted model consensus toward afternoon highs of 26–28 °C, aligning with the market’s heaviest positioning on those outcomes. Historical analogs for similar synoptic setups show maximum temperatures rarely exceeding 29 °C under overcast conditions, while clearer scenarios remain low-probability given the current steering pattern. Updated short-range guidance and any clearing trends ahead of resolution will be the key variables for traders monitoring this market.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न