Recent ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and major global models indicate peak temperatures in Toronto on August 21 will most likely reach 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies with a modest chance of afternoon showers, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Late-August climatology supports highs near 24–25°C as a baseline, with current steering patterns and limited moisture suggesting minimal deviation absent a stronger warm advection event. Short-term numerical weather prediction runs show tight agreement on this range, though minor shifts in cloud cover or timing could still adjust the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders' skin-in-the-game consensus thus reflects both model consensus and the narrow variability typical for the season.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया21 अगस्त को टोरंटो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
25°C 47%
26°C 31%
24°C 16%
27°C 7%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
16%
25°C
47%
26°C
31%
27°C
7%
28°C
6%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 47%
26°C 31%
24°C 16%
27°C 7%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
16%
25°C
47%
26°C
31%
27°C
7%
28°C
6%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and major global models indicate peak temperatures in Toronto on August 21 will most likely reach 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies with a modest chance of afternoon showers, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Late-August climatology supports highs near 24–25°C as a baseline, with current steering patterns and limited moisture suggesting minimal deviation absent a stronger warm advection event. Short-term numerical weather prediction runs show tight agreement on this range, though minor shifts in cloud cover or timing could still adjust the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders' skin-in-the-game consensus thus reflects both model consensus and the narrow variability typical for the season.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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