Recent MetService and NIWA guidance shows Wellington under a strong southerly flow of cooler maritime air on August 16, with forecast maximums centered on 8–10°C amid occasional showers and limited insolation. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 10°C (81.5% implied probability), as ensemble runs and local observations indicate modest diurnal warming capped by persistent cloud and wind mixing. Recent polar-air outbreaks have already delivered below-average temperatures across the lower North Island, consistent with August climatology of roughly 12°C highs yet suppressed here by the current synoptic pattern. Key resolution thresholds hinge on whether any clearing allows brief northerly influence or if the southerly persists through peak heating hours; updated model cycles from MetService tomorrow morning will likely refine the final band.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
10°C 83%
11°C 15%
12°C 2%
13°C <1%
$47,149 वॉल्यूम
$47,149 वॉल्यूम
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
83%
11°C
15%
12°C
2%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
10°C 83%
11°C 15%
12°C 2%
13°C <1%
$47,149 वॉल्यूम
$47,149 वॉल्यूम
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
83%
11°C
15%
12°C
2%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService and NIWA guidance shows Wellington under a strong southerly flow of cooler maritime air on August 16, with forecast maximums centered on 8–10°C amid occasional showers and limited insolation. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 10°C (81.5% implied probability), as ensemble runs and local observations indicate modest diurnal warming capped by persistent cloud and wind mixing. Recent polar-air outbreaks have already delivered below-average temperatures across the lower North Island, consistent with August climatology of roughly 12°C highs yet suppressed here by the current synoptic pattern. Key resolution thresholds hinge on whether any clearing allows brief northerly influence or if the southerly persists through peak heating hours; updated model cycles from MetService tomorrow morning will likely refine the final band.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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