**Short-term forecast models from MetService and international sources currently point to a daytime maximum near 15°C for Wellington on July 16, 2026, under light southerly to southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover.** Climatologically, July highs average 12–13°C, so this represents a modest positive anomaly consistent with the seasonal outlook from NIWA, which assigns roughly equal chances of near-average or below-average temperatures through the period. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 15°C (43.5%) and 16°C (37%), reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise peak: small differences in frontal timing, insolation, or wind strength can shift the maximum by 1°C. Model consensus favors stabilization around 14–16°C rather than colder outbreaks or unseasonable warmth, with resolution depending on the official MetService observation for the day’s highest temperature. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 जुलाई को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
16 जुलाई को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
15°C 68%
16°C 26%
14°C 5.9%
17°C 4.1%
नया
$18,591 वॉल्यूम
नया
$18,591 वॉल्यूम
16 जुल, 2026
10°C या उससे कम
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
6%
15°C
68%
16°C
26%
17°C
4%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C या अधिक
<1%
15°C 68%
16°C 26%
14°C 5.9%
17°C 4.1%
नया
$18,591 वॉल्यूम
नया
$18,591 वॉल्यूम
16 जुल, 2026
10°C या उससे कम
$491 वॉल्यूम
<1%
11°C
$694 वॉल्यूम
<1%
12°C
$617 वॉल्यूम
<1%
13°C
$1,135 वॉल्यूम
<1%
14°C
$2,551 वॉल्यूम
6%
15°C
$5,124 वॉल्यूम
68%
16°C
$4,116 वॉल्यूम
26%
17°C
$2,129 वॉल्यूम
4%
18°C
$801 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C
$586 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C या अधिक
$346 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecast models from MetService and international sources currently point to a daytime maximum near 15°C for Wellington on July 16, 2026, under light southerly to southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover.**
Climatologically, July highs average 12–13°C, so this represents a modest positive anomaly consistent with the seasonal outlook from NIWA, which assigns roughly equal chances of near-average or below-average temperatures through the period. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 15°C (43.5%) and 16°C (37%), reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise peak: small differences in frontal timing, insolation, or wind strength can shift the maximum by 1°C.
Model consensus favors stabilization around 14–16°C rather than colder outbreaks or unseasonable warmth, with resolution depending on the official MetService observation for the day’s highest temperature. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$18,591समाप्ति तिथि
16 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecast models from MetService and international sources currently point to a daytime maximum near 15°C for Wellington on July 16, 2026, under light southerly to southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover.**
Climatologically, July highs average 12–13°C, so this represents a modest positive anomaly consistent with the seasonal outlook from NIWA, which assigns roughly equal chances of near-average or below-average temperatures through the period. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 15°C (43.5%) and 16°C (37%), reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise peak: small differences in frontal timing, insolation, or wind strength can shift the maximum by 1°C.
Model consensus favors stabilization around 14–16°C rather than colder outbreaks or unseasonable warmth, with resolution depending on the official MetService observation for the day’s highest temperature. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$18,591समाप्ति तिथि
16 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Short-term forecast models from MetService and international sources currently point to a daytime maximum near 15°C for Wellington on July 16, 2026, under light southerly to southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover.** Climatologically, July highs average 12–13°C, so this represents a modest positive anomaly consistent with the seasonal outlook from NIWA, which assigns roughly equal chances of near-average or below-average temperatures through the period. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 15°C (43.5%) and 16°C (37%), reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise peak: small differences in frontal timing, insolation, or wind strength can shift the maximum by 1°C. Model consensus favors stabilization around 14–16°C rather than colder outbreaks or unseasonable warmth, with resolution depending on the official MetService observation for the day’s highest temperature. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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