Recent Israeli opinion polls project Likud securing 21–25 Knesset seats in the October 27, 2026, legislative election, down from its 32 seats in 2022, as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and other opposition groups gain ground. Netanyahu’s broader coalition bloc has slipped to around 48 seats in multiple surveys, remaining short of the 61-seat majority threshold. This positioning reflects voter shifts tied to prolonged security challenges, coalition strains, and Likud’s internal primaries, which have highlighted party divisions ahead of final candidate lists. Traders have incorporated these consistent polling trends into the high probability assigned to Likud losing seats.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया88% संभावना
$11,080 वॉल्यूम
$11,080 वॉल्यूम
27 अक्टू, 2026
88% संभावना
$11,080 वॉल्यूम
$11,080 वॉल्यूम
27 अक्टू, 2026
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent Israeli opinion polls project Likud securing 21–25 Knesset seats in the October 27, 2026, legislative election, down from its 32 seats in 2022, as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and other opposition groups gain ground. Netanyahu’s broader coalition bloc has slipped to around 48 seats in multiple surveys, remaining short of the 61-seat majority threshold. This positioning reflects voter shifts tied to prolonged security challenges, coalition strains, and Likud’s internal primaries, which have highlighted party divisions ahead of final candidate lists. Traders have incorporated these consistent polling trends into the high probability assigned to Likud losing seats.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$11,080समाप्ति तिथि
27 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent Israeli opinion polls project Likud securing 21–25 Knesset seats in the October 27, 2026, legislative election, down from its 32 seats in 2022, as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and other opposition groups gain ground. Netanyahu’s broader coalition bloc has slipped to around 48 seats in multiple surveys, remaining short of the 61-seat majority threshold. This positioning reflects voter shifts tied to prolonged security challenges, coalition strains, and Likud’s internal primaries, which have highlighted party divisions ahead of final candidate lists. Traders have incorporated these consistent polling trends into the high probability assigned to Likud losing seats.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
वॉल्यूम
$11,080समाप्ति तिथि
27 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Israeli opinion polls project Likud securing 21–25 Knesset seats in the October 27, 2026, legislative election, down from its 32 seats in 2022, as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and other opposition groups gain ground. Netanyahu’s broader coalition bloc has slipped to around 48 seats in multiple surveys, remaining short of the 61-seat majority threshold. This positioning reflects voter shifts tied to prolonged security challenges, coalition strains, and Likud’s internal primaries, which have highlighted party divisions ahead of final candidate lists. Traders have incorporated these consistent polling trends into the high probability assigned to Likud losing seats.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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