Recent polls, including a May 12 Kan survey projecting Likud at 27 Knesset seats and a May 7 Midgam/Channel 12 poll at 25, alongside a May 11 Channel 12 finding that 42% of 2022 Likud voters are soft on loyalty, underpin trader consensus clustering around 25-29 seats at 47% implied probability. The late April formation of the Bennett-Lapid "Together" alliance briefly propelled opposition blocs to challenge Likud's plurality, but Likud has stabilized post-April 16 Israel-Lebanon ceasefire, as war outcomes with Hezbollah and Iran failed to rally decisive support. This proportional representation contest remains tight due to fragmented opposition and Netanyahu bloc vulnerabilities short of a 61-seat majority. Separation could arise from budget passage averting snap election risks, further voter defections, or security escalations before the October 27 vote.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया25-29 54%
30-34 29%
<20 21.8%
20-24 21%
नया
नया
27 अक्टू, 2026
<20
17%
20-24
43%
25-29
45%
30-34
29%
35+
18%
25-29 54%
30-34 29%
<20 21.8%
20-24 21%
नया
नया
27 अक्टू, 2026
<20
$754 वॉल्यूम
17%
20-24
$80 वॉल्यूम
43%
25-29
$136 वॉल्यूम
45%
30-34
$132 वॉल्यूम
29%
35+
$195 वॉल्यूम
18%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls, including a May 12 Kan survey projecting Likud at 27 Knesset seats and a May 7 Midgam/Channel 12 poll at 25, alongside a May 11 Channel 12 finding that 42% of 2022 Likud voters are soft on loyalty, underpin trader consensus clustering around 25-29 seats at 47% implied probability. The late April formation of the Bennett-Lapid "Together" alliance briefly propelled opposition blocs to challenge Likud's plurality, but Likud has stabilized post-April 16 Israel-Lebanon ceasefire, as war outcomes with Hezbollah and Iran failed to rally decisive support. This proportional representation contest remains tight due to fragmented opposition and Netanyahu bloc vulnerabilities short of a 61-seat majority. Separation could arise from budget passage averting snap election risks, further voter defections, or security escalations before the October 27 vote.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,297समाप्ति तिथि
27 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls, including a May 12 Kan survey projecting Likud at 27 Knesset seats and a May 7 Midgam/Channel 12 poll at 25, alongside a May 11 Channel 12 finding that 42% of 2022 Likud voters are soft on loyalty, underpin trader consensus clustering around 25-29 seats at 47% implied probability. The late April formation of the Bennett-Lapid "Together" alliance briefly propelled opposition blocs to challenge Likud's plurality, but Likud has stabilized post-April 16 Israel-Lebanon ceasefire, as war outcomes with Hezbollah and Iran failed to rally decisive support. This proportional representation contest remains tight due to fragmented opposition and Netanyahu bloc vulnerabilities short of a 61-seat majority. Separation could arise from budget passage averting snap election risks, further voter defections, or security escalations before the October 27 vote.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
वॉल्यूम
$1,297समाप्ति तिथि
27 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls, including a May 12 Kan survey projecting Likud at 27 Knesset seats and a May 7 Midgam/Channel 12 poll at 25, alongside a May 11 Channel 12 finding that 42% of 2022 Likud voters are soft on loyalty, underpin trader consensus clustering around 25-29 seats at 47% implied probability. The late April formation of the Bennett-Lapid "Together" alliance briefly propelled opposition blocs to challenge Likud's plurality, but Likud has stabilized post-April 16 Israel-Lebanon ceasefire, as war outcomes with Hezbollah and Iran failed to rally decisive support. This proportional representation contest remains tight due to fragmented opposition and Netanyahu bloc vulnerabilities short of a 61-seat majority. Separation could arise from budget passage averting snap election risks, further voter defections, or security escalations before the October 27 vote.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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