Recent polls ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election show Likud projected in the low-to-mid 20s, fluctuating between 21 and 23 seats across surveys from Midgam, Kantar, and others. This range keeps the 20-24 and 25-29 outcome buckets nearly even in trader pricing. Primary drivers include Likud’s seat decline from 32 in 2022 amid lingering effects of the judicial overhaul, security challenges following October 7, and competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party, which has edged ahead or tied in several recent readings. Internal party tensions over candidate selection and Netanyahu’s expanded control of the slate have added volatility. Modest gains for the broader opposition bloc, still short of a majority without Arab parties, further compress expectations. Late swings in security developments, turnout among right-wing voters, or shifts in ultra-Orthodox and nationalist alliances could push projections outside the current narrow band.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया25-29 35%
20-24 33%
<20 18.8%
30-34 15%
$99,301 वॉल्यूम
$99,301 वॉल्यूम
27 अक्टू, 2026
<20
19%
20-24
33%
25-29
35%
30-34
15%
35+
3%
25-29 35%
20-24 33%
<20 18.8%
30-34 15%
$99,301 वॉल्यूम
$99,301 वॉल्यूम
27 अक्टू, 2026
<20
$33,017 वॉल्यूम
19%
20-24
$15,423 वॉल्यूम
33%
25-29
$24,287 वॉल्यूम
35%
30-34
$18,387 वॉल्यूम
15%
35+
$8,186 वॉल्यूम
3%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election show Likud projected in the low-to-mid 20s, fluctuating between 21 and 23 seats across surveys from Midgam, Kantar, and others. This range keeps the 20-24 and 25-29 outcome buckets nearly even in trader pricing. Primary drivers include Likud’s seat decline from 32 in 2022 amid lingering effects of the judicial overhaul, security challenges following October 7, and competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party, which has edged ahead or tied in several recent readings. Internal party tensions over candidate selection and Netanyahu’s expanded control of the slate have added volatility. Modest gains for the broader opposition bloc, still short of a majority without Arab parties, further compress expectations. Late swings in security developments, turnout among right-wing voters, or shifts in ultra-Orthodox and nationalist alliances could push projections outside the current narrow band.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$99,301समाप्ति तिथि
27 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election show Likud projected in the low-to-mid 20s, fluctuating between 21 and 23 seats across surveys from Midgam, Kantar, and others. This range keeps the 20-24 and 25-29 outcome buckets nearly even in trader pricing. Primary drivers include Likud’s seat decline from 32 in 2022 amid lingering effects of the judicial overhaul, security challenges following October 7, and competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party, which has edged ahead or tied in several recent readings. Internal party tensions over candidate selection and Netanyahu’s expanded control of the slate have added volatility. Modest gains for the broader opposition bloc, still short of a majority without Arab parties, further compress expectations. Late swings in security developments, turnout among right-wing voters, or shifts in ultra-Orthodox and nationalist alliances could push projections outside the current narrow band.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
वॉल्यूम
$99,301समाप्ति तिथि
27 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election show Likud projected in the low-to-mid 20s, fluctuating between 21 and 23 seats across surveys from Midgam, Kantar, and others. This range keeps the 20-24 and 25-29 outcome buckets nearly even in trader pricing. Primary drivers include Likud’s seat decline from 32 in 2022 amid lingering effects of the judicial overhaul, security challenges following October 7, and competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party, which has edged ahead or tied in several recent readings. Internal party tensions over candidate selection and Netanyahu’s expanded control of the slate have added volatility. Modest gains for the broader opposition bloc, still short of a majority without Arab parties, further compress expectations. Late swings in security developments, turnout among right-wing voters, or shifts in ultra-Orthodox and nationalist alliances could push projections outside the current narrow band.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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