Kansas's open 2026 gubernatorial race features Democratic nominee Cindy Holscher and Republican nominee Ty Masterson following August 4 primaries in a state that supported Donald Trump by double digits in 2024 yet maintains a record of gubernatorial ticket-splitting. Early ratings classify the contest as a toss-up or lean Republican, with trader pricing reflecting narrow implied margins driven by Kansas's history of competitive executive races, Holscher's recent primary victory and endorsement from term-limited incumbent Laura Kelly, and Masterson's Senate leadership role plus party organizational support. Limited general-election polling and the open-seat dynamic sustain the tight positioning across margin buckets. Developments such as candidate debates, fundraising disclosures, turnout patterns in suburban and rural areas, or national political shifts could widen separation before November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाDemocrat 0-3% 45%
Democrat 3-6% 42%
Republican 9-12% 42%
Republican 15-18% 42%

Republican 18%+
14%

Republican 15-18%
42%

Republican 12-15%
41%

Republican 9-12%
42%

Republican 6-9%
40%

Republican 3-6%
41%

Republican 0-3%
42%

Democrat 0-3%
45%

Democrat 3-6%
42%

Democrat 6%+
40%
Democrat 0-3% 45%
Democrat 3-6% 42%
Republican 9-12% 42%
Republican 15-18% 42%

Republican 18%+
14%

Republican 15-18%
42%

Republican 12-15%
41%

Republican 9-12%
42%

Republican 6-9%
40%

Republican 3-6%
41%

Republican 0-3%
42%

Democrat 0-3%
45%

Democrat 3-6%
42%

Democrat 6%+
40%
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 5, 2026, 2:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kansas's open 2026 gubernatorial race features Democratic nominee Cindy Holscher and Republican nominee Ty Masterson following August 4 primaries in a state that supported Donald Trump by double digits in 2024 yet maintains a record of gubernatorial ticket-splitting. Early ratings classify the contest as a toss-up or lean Republican, with trader pricing reflecting narrow implied margins driven by Kansas's history of competitive executive races, Holscher's recent primary victory and endorsement from term-limited incumbent Laura Kelly, and Masterson's Senate leadership role plus party organizational support. Limited general-election polling and the open-seat dynamic sustain the tight positioning across margin buckets. Developments such as candidate debates, fundraising disclosures, turnout patterns in suburban and rural areas, or national political shifts could widen separation before November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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