Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall seeks a second term in the solidly Republican state of Kansas, facing Democrat Adam Hamilton in the November 2026 general election following their August 4 primaries. The state's partisan lean, reflected in consistent Republican presidential margins and a Democratic drought for the seat since 1932, anchors trader consensus at an 80% Republican probability. Recent polls show Marshall ahead by narrow single digits amid a midterm environment, yet forecasts from outlets like Cook Political Report classify the race as Likely or Solid Republican due to structural advantages. No major late developments have shifted the baseline, though national conditions and turnout patterns remain variables within the resolution window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$39,811 वॉल्यूम
$39,811 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन
80%
डेमोक्रेट
20%
$39,811 वॉल्यूम
$39,811 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन
$26,196 वॉल्यूम
80%
डेमोक्रेट
$13,616 वॉल्यूम
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall seeks a second term in the solidly Republican state of Kansas, facing Democrat Adam Hamilton in the November 2026 general election following their August 4 primaries. The state's partisan lean, reflected in consistent Republican presidential margins and a Democratic drought for the seat since 1932, anchors trader consensus at an 80% Republican probability. Recent polls show Marshall ahead by narrow single digits amid a midterm environment, yet forecasts from outlets like Cook Political Report classify the race as Likely or Solid Republican due to structural advantages. No major late developments have shifted the baseline, though national conditions and turnout patterns remain variables within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$39,811समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall seeks a second term in the solidly Republican state of Kansas, facing Democrat Adam Hamilton in the November 2026 general election following their August 4 primaries. The state's partisan lean, reflected in consistent Republican presidential margins and a Democratic drought for the seat since 1932, anchors trader consensus at an 80% Republican probability. Recent polls show Marshall ahead by narrow single digits amid a midterm environment, yet forecasts from outlets like Cook Political Report classify the race as Likely or Solid Republican due to structural advantages. No major late developments have shifted the baseline, though national conditions and turnout patterns remain variables within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$39,811समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall seeks a second term in the solidly Republican state of Kansas, facing Democrat Adam Hamilton in the November 2026 general election following their August 4 primaries. The state's partisan lean, reflected in consistent Republican presidential margins and a Democratic drought for the seat since 1932, anchors trader consensus at an 80% Republican probability. Recent polls show Marshall ahead by narrow single digits amid a midterm environment, yet forecasts from outlets like Cook Political Report classify the race as Likely or Solid Republican due to structural advantages. No major late developments have shifted the baseline, though national conditions and turnout patterns remain variables within the resolution window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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