Łukasz Gibała holds the strongest position in the September 27 snap election triggered by the May 2026 recall of former mayor Aleksander Miszalski, as his local independent movement and prior near-win in 2024 give him broad name recognition and a base outside national parties. Recent IBRiS polling shows him ahead of fragmented rivals, including Monika Piątkowska (backed by KO and PSL), Michał Drewnicki (PiS), Daria Gosek-Popiołek (Left), and lower-polling independents or smaller-party figures. Trader consensus prices reflect this early lead amid a crowded field where no other candidate has consolidated comparable support or endorsements. With first-round dynamics and potential runoffs ahead, Gibała’s odds incorporate his established Kraków-focused platform while acknowledging risks from turnout, late alliances, or shifts in voter preferences before the vote.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयालुकाश गिबाला 61%
मोनिका पियात्कोव्स्का 13%
राफाल सोनिक 10%
दरिया गोसेक-पोपियोलेक 9%
लुकाश गिबाला
61%
मोनिका पियात्कोव्स्का
13%
राफाल सोनिक
10%
दरिया गोसेक-पोपियोलेक
9%
मिखाल ड्रेव्निक्की
8%
रफाल कोमारेविक्ज़
8%
जन हॉफमैन
7%
स्वावोमिर पिएत्रजिक
6%
अलेक्ज़ांद्रा ओव्का
5%
लुकाज वांतुख
5%
मरियाना श्राइबर
5%
मारियन बानस
5%
ग्राज़ीना जोफिया श्वियात
5%
बार्तोज़ बोचेंचक
1%
मिखाउ क्लिमेक
1%
पावेल श्लिज
1%
मार्ता राटुज़िंस्का
1%
लुकाश गिबाला 61%
मोनिका पियात्कोव्स्का 13%
राफाल सोनिक 10%
दरिया गोसेक-पोपियोलेक 9%
लुकाश गिबाला
61%
मोनिका पियात्कोव्स्का
13%
राफाल सोनिक
10%
दरिया गोसेक-पोपियोलेक
9%
मिखाल ड्रेव्निक्की
8%
रफाल कोमारेविक्ज़
8%
जन हॉफमैन
7%
स्वावोमिर पिएत्रजिक
6%
अलेक्ज़ांद्रा ओव्का
5%
लुकाज वांतुख
5%
मरियाना श्राइबर
5%
मारियन बानस
5%
ग्राज़ीना जोफिया श्वियात
5%
बार्तोज़ बोचेंचक
1%
मिखाउ क्लिमेक
1%
पावेल श्लिज
1%
मार्ता राटुज़िंस्का
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Łukasz Gibała holds the strongest position in the September 27 snap election triggered by the May 2026 recall of former mayor Aleksander Miszalski, as his local independent movement and prior near-win in 2024 give him broad name recognition and a base outside national parties. Recent IBRiS polling shows him ahead of fragmented rivals, including Monika Piątkowska (backed by KO and PSL), Michał Drewnicki (PiS), Daria Gosek-Popiołek (Left), and lower-polling independents or smaller-party figures. Trader consensus prices reflect this early lead amid a crowded field where no other candidate has consolidated comparable support or endorsements. With first-round dynamics and potential runoffs ahead, Gibała’s odds incorporate his established Kraków-focused platform while acknowledging risks from turnout, late alliances, or shifts in voter preferences before the vote.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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