Recent cold front passage over the Western Cape has advected cooler maritime air southward, setting up clearer skies and light southerly winds for August 31 that favor nocturnal radiative cooling and limited boundary-layer mixing. Official model guidance from sources like the South African Weather Service and global ensembles currently clusters minimum temperatures near 9–11 °C under mostly clear conditions, yet trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (43 %) to 5 °C or below, reflecting lingering uncertainty around exact wind speeds, dew-point depression, and potential for localized drainage of colder air from higher terrain. Subsequent model runs and official minimum forecasts over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts likely to refine these market-implied odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया31 अगस्त को केप टाउन में सबसे कम तापमान?
5°C or below 95%
6°C 49%
11°C 49%
9°C 29%
5°C or below
95%
6°C
49%
7°C
26%
8°C
28%
9°C
29%
10°C
26%
11°C
49%
12°C
2%
13°C
9%
14°C
9%
15°C or higher
2%
5°C or below 95%
6°C 49%
11°C 49%
9°C 29%
5°C or below
95%
6°C
49%
7°C
26%
8°C
28%
9°C
29%
10°C
26%
11°C
49%
12°C
2%
13°C
9%
14°C
9%
15°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold front passage over the Western Cape has advected cooler maritime air southward, setting up clearer skies and light southerly winds for August 31 that favor nocturnal radiative cooling and limited boundary-layer mixing. Official model guidance from sources like the South African Weather Service and global ensembles currently clusters minimum temperatures near 9–11 °C under mostly clear conditions, yet trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (43 %) to 5 °C or below, reflecting lingering uncertainty around exact wind speeds, dew-point depression, and potential for localized drainage of colder air from higher terrain. Subsequent model runs and official minimum forecasts over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts likely to refine these market-implied odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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