The ongoing European heatwave, with Météo-France and other models showing Paris overnight lows near 23–24°C on June 22 amid daytime highs approaching 39°C, drives the market's concentration around those outcomes. This reflects strong short-term forecast consensus from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF ensembles, though minor shifts in cloud cover, wind patterns, or urban heat-island effects could alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Compared to the long-term June average low of roughly 13–14°C, current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly tied to the solstice timing and persistent high pressure. Traders weigh the narrow resolution window against typical model spread for nocturnal temperatures, sustaining the dispersed probabilities across 21–25°C bins.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया22 जून को पेरिस में सबसे कम तापमान?
23°C 34%
24°C 24%
22°C 22%
21°C या उससे कम 19%
21°C या उससे कम
19%
22°C
22%
23°C
34%
24°C
24%
25°C
14%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C या अधिक
<1%
23°C 34%
24°C 24%
22°C 22%
21°C या उससे कम 19%
21°C या उससे कम
19%
22°C
22%
23°C
34%
24°C
24%
25°C
14%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C या अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The ongoing European heatwave, with Météo-France and other models showing Paris overnight lows near 23–24°C on June 22 amid daytime highs approaching 39°C, drives the market's concentration around those outcomes. This reflects strong short-term forecast consensus from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF ensembles, though minor shifts in cloud cover, wind patterns, or urban heat-island effects could alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Compared to the long-term June average low of roughly 13–14°C, current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly tied to the solstice timing and persistent high pressure. Traders weigh the narrow resolution window against typical model spread for nocturnal temperatures, sustaining the dispersed probabilities across 21–25°C bins.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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