Recent observations and forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate that a surge of cooler northwest air has driven overnight lows in the Seoul-Incheon area to around 14°C on October 14, aligning with the market's near-certain 14°C outcome. This reflects typical mid-October climatology for the region, where diurnal ranges often reach 10–15°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds, and no significant cold-air outbreak or cloud cover has altered the trajectory. Official station data and model consensus show minimal risk of dropping to 7°C or below, as dew points and wind patterns support stabilization above that threshold. A rapid, unexpected shift in steering currents or unforecasted radiative cooling could theoretically challenge this, though current conditions make such a revision unlikely before resolution.