Recent numerical weather prediction models and climatological baselines position 25°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on July 5, reflecting typical early-July subtropical monsoon conditions where nocturnal radiative cooling is limited by high humidity and prevailing southerly flow. Ensemble guidance shows overnight lows clustered near 24–26°C, with limited spread due to stable large-scale patterns and no strong frontal passages or tropical influences expected in the 48-hour window. Trader consensus aligns with this central tendency, as 25°C commands over half the probability while adjacent bins capture residual forecast uncertainty. Updated runs from global and regional models will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाLowest temperature in Shanghai on July 5?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on July 5?
25°C 42%
26°C 38%
27°C 8%
24°C 6%
नया
नया
5 जुल, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
6%
25°C
42%
26°C
38%
27°C
8%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 42%
26°C 38%
27°C 8%
24°C 6%
नया
नया
5 जुल, 2026
21°C or below
$42 वॉल्यूम
1%
22°C
$85 वॉल्यूम
1%
23°C
$32 वॉल्यूम
4%
24°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
6%
25°C
$57 वॉल्यूम
42%
26°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
38%
27°C
$235 वॉल्यूम
8%
28°C
$250 वॉल्यूम
3%
29°C
$147 वॉल्यूम
1%
30°C
$33 वॉल्यूम
<1%
31°C or higher
$491 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models and climatological baselines position 25°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on July 5, reflecting typical early-July subtropical monsoon conditions where nocturnal radiative cooling is limited by high humidity and prevailing southerly flow. Ensemble guidance shows overnight lows clustered near 24–26°C, with limited spread due to stable large-scale patterns and no strong frontal passages or tropical influences expected in the 48-hour window. Trader consensus aligns with this central tendency, as 25°C commands over half the probability while adjacent bins capture residual forecast uncertainty. Updated runs from global and regional models will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,381समाप्ति तिथि
5 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models and climatological baselines position 25°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on July 5, reflecting typical early-July subtropical monsoon conditions where nocturnal radiative cooling is limited by high humidity and prevailing southerly flow. Ensemble guidance shows overnight lows clustered near 24–26°C, with limited spread due to stable large-scale patterns and no strong frontal passages or tropical influences expected in the 48-hour window. Trader consensus aligns with this central tendency, as 25°C commands over half the probability while adjacent bins capture residual forecast uncertainty. Updated runs from global and regional models will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,381समाप्ति तिथि
5 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models and climatological baselines position 25°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on July 5, reflecting typical early-July subtropical monsoon conditions where nocturnal radiative cooling is limited by high humidity and prevailing southerly flow. Ensemble guidance shows overnight lows clustered near 24–26°C, with limited spread due to stable large-scale patterns and no strong frontal passages or tropical influences expected in the 48-hour window. Trader consensus aligns with this central tendency, as 25°C commands over half the probability while adjacent bins capture residual forecast uncertainty. Updated runs from global and regional models will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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