**Trader sentiment for Shanghai’s June 18 lowest temperature centers on current forecast consensus pointing to overnight minima of 23–24 °C.** Ensemble guidance from major meteorological centers shows a stable subtropical air mass with persistent cloud cover and high humidity limiting radiative cooling, keeping the expected low near the upper end of the June climatological range (historical averages 20–22 °C). Recent model runs exhibit narrow spread around this value, with daytime highs near 28–30 °C supporting only modest nocturnal drops. The 40 % market-implied probability on 24 °C and 23.5 % on 23 °C reflect traders’ assessment that these thresholds align most closely with the latest deterministic and ensemble outputs, while lower probabilities on 22 °C or below indicate limited likelihood of stronger cooling from maritime air intrusions or clearer skies. Official station data (typically calibrated to Shanghai’s main observing site) will resolve the market, and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing could adjust the minimum by 1–2 °C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 जून को शंघाई में सबसे कम तापमान?
18 जून को शंघाई में सबसे कम तापमान?
24°C 40%
23°C 24%
22°C 10.0%
25°C 8%
नया
नया
18 जून, 2026
19°C या उससे कम
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
7%
22°C
10%
23°C
24%
24°C
40%
25°C
8%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C या अधिक
<1%
24°C 40%
23°C 24%
22°C 10.0%
25°C 8%
नया
नया
18 जून, 2026
19°C या उससे कम
$882 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C
$362 वॉल्यूम
1%
21°C
$22 वॉल्यूम
7%
22°C
$143 वॉल्यूम
10%
23°C
$564 वॉल्यूम
24%
24°C
$165 वॉल्यूम
40%
25°C
$438 वॉल्यूम
8%
26°C
$287 वॉल्यूम
1%
27°C
$32 वॉल्यूम
1%
28°C
$122 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C या अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Shanghai’s June 18 lowest temperature centers on current forecast consensus pointing to overnight minima of 23–24 °C.** Ensemble guidance from major meteorological centers shows a stable subtropical air mass with persistent cloud cover and high humidity limiting radiative cooling, keeping the expected low near the upper end of the June climatological range (historical averages 20–22 °C). Recent model runs exhibit narrow spread around this value, with daytime highs near 28–30 °C supporting only modest nocturnal drops.
The 40 % market-implied probability on 24 °C and 23.5 % on 23 °C reflect traders’ assessment that these thresholds align most closely with the latest deterministic and ensemble outputs, while lower probabilities on 22 °C or below indicate limited likelihood of stronger cooling from maritime air intrusions or clearer skies. Official station data (typically calibrated to Shanghai’s main observing site) will resolve the market, and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing could adjust the minimum by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,016समाप्ति तिथि
18 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Shanghai’s June 18 lowest temperature centers on current forecast consensus pointing to overnight minima of 23–24 °C.** Ensemble guidance from major meteorological centers shows a stable subtropical air mass with persistent cloud cover and high humidity limiting radiative cooling, keeping the expected low near the upper end of the June climatological range (historical averages 20–22 °C). Recent model runs exhibit narrow spread around this value, with daytime highs near 28–30 °C supporting only modest nocturnal drops.
The 40 % market-implied probability on 24 °C and 23.5 % on 23 °C reflect traders’ assessment that these thresholds align most closely with the latest deterministic and ensemble outputs, while lower probabilities on 22 °C or below indicate limited likelihood of stronger cooling from maritime air intrusions or clearer skies. Official station data (typically calibrated to Shanghai’s main observing site) will resolve the market, and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing could adjust the minimum by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$3,016समाप्ति तिथि
18 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Shanghai’s June 18 lowest temperature centers on current forecast consensus pointing to overnight minima of 23–24 °C.** Ensemble guidance from major meteorological centers shows a stable subtropical air mass with persistent cloud cover and high humidity limiting radiative cooling, keeping the expected low near the upper end of the June climatological range (historical averages 20–22 °C). Recent model runs exhibit narrow spread around this value, with daytime highs near 28–30 °C supporting only modest nocturnal drops. The 40 % market-implied probability on 24 °C and 23.5 % on 23 °C reflect traders’ assessment that these thresholds align most closely with the latest deterministic and ensemble outputs, while lower probabilities on 22 °C or below indicate limited likelihood of stronger cooling from maritime air intrusions or clearer skies. Official station data (typically calibrated to Shanghai’s main observing site) will resolve the market, and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing could adjust the minimum by 1–2 °C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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