Close clustering of market-implied odds around 19–23°C for Shanghai’s June 28 overnight low reflects substantial short-term forecast uncertainty typical of late-June East Asian monsoon conditions. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover modulating nocturnal radiative cooling, fluctuating humidity levels tied to southerly moisture transport, and subtle steering influences from the western Pacific subtropical high that can shift local wind patterns and marine-layer intrusions from the East China Sea. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration shows model spread between GFS and ECMWF ensembles, with urban heat-island effects in Shanghai potentially raising minimums 1–2°C above rural baselines. Fresh model runs and updated surface observations expected within the next 24–48 hours are likely to narrow the range and move probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया28 जून को शंघाई में सबसे कम तापमान?
28 जून को शंघाई में सबसे कम तापमान?
22°C 40%
23°C 32%
21°C 12%
20°C 9%
नया
नया
28 जून, 2026
17°C या उससे कम
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
9%
21°C
14%
22°C
40%
23°C
32%
24°C
5%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C या अधिक
<1%
22°C 40%
23°C 32%
21°C 12%
20°C 9%
नया
नया
28 जून, 2026
17°C या उससे कम
$241 वॉल्यूम
<1%
18°C
$62 वॉल्यूम
1%
19°C
$35 वॉल्यूम
3%
20°C
$78 वॉल्यूम
9%
21°C
$325 वॉल्यूम
14%
22°C
$163 वॉल्यूम
40%
23°C
$141 वॉल्यूम
32%
24°C
$41 वॉल्यूम
5%
25°C
$27 वॉल्यूम
3%
26°C
$132 वॉल्यूम
1%
27°C या अधिक
$481 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close clustering of market-implied odds around 19–23°C for Shanghai’s June 28 overnight low reflects substantial short-term forecast uncertainty typical of late-June East Asian monsoon conditions. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover modulating nocturnal radiative cooling, fluctuating humidity levels tied to southerly moisture transport, and subtle steering influences from the western Pacific subtropical high that can shift local wind patterns and marine-layer intrusions from the East China Sea. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration shows model spread between GFS and ECMWF ensembles, with urban heat-island effects in Shanghai potentially raising minimums 1–2°C above rural baselines. Fresh model runs and updated surface observations expected within the next 24–48 hours are likely to narrow the range and move probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,726समाप्ति तिथि
28 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close clustering of market-implied odds around 19–23°C for Shanghai’s June 28 overnight low reflects substantial short-term forecast uncertainty typical of late-June East Asian monsoon conditions. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover modulating nocturnal radiative cooling, fluctuating humidity levels tied to southerly moisture transport, and subtle steering influences from the western Pacific subtropical high that can shift local wind patterns and marine-layer intrusions from the East China Sea. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration shows model spread between GFS and ECMWF ensembles, with urban heat-island effects in Shanghai potentially raising minimums 1–2°C above rural baselines. Fresh model runs and updated surface observations expected within the next 24–48 hours are likely to narrow the range and move probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,726समाप्ति तिथि
28 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Close clustering of market-implied odds around 19–23°C for Shanghai’s June 28 overnight low reflects substantial short-term forecast uncertainty typical of late-June East Asian monsoon conditions. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover modulating nocturnal radiative cooling, fluctuating humidity levels tied to southerly moisture transport, and subtle steering influences from the western Pacific subtropical high that can shift local wind patterns and marine-layer intrusions from the East China Sea. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration shows model spread between GFS and ECMWF ensembles, with urban heat-island effects in Shanghai potentially raising minimums 1–2°C above rural baselines. Fresh model runs and updated surface observations expected within the next 24–48 hours are likely to narrow the range and move probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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