Tokyo’s minimum temperature on June 18 hinges on nocturnal radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the early tsuyu (rainy season) pattern. Official JMA guidance points to a 19°C low amid mostly cloudy skies that suppress clear-sky heat loss, while ensemble models and urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo nudge trader-implied probabilities toward 20–21°C. Light southerly flow, elevated humidity, and the absence of strong frontal passages further limit overnight drops, consistent with mid-June climatology of 18–22°C minima. Updated model runs and any clearing trends overnight will be the key variables shifting the narrow 20–21°C consensus before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 जून को टोक्यो में सबसे कम तापमान?
21°C 43%
20°C 39%
22°C 9%
19°C 4.6%
15°C या उससे कम
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
39%
21°C
43%
22°C
9%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
21°C 43%
20°C 39%
22°C 9%
19°C 4.6%
15°C या उससे कम
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
39%
21°C
43%
22°C
9%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Tokyo’s minimum temperature on June 18 hinges on nocturnal radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the early tsuyu (rainy season) pattern. Official JMA guidance points to a 19°C low amid mostly cloudy skies that suppress clear-sky heat loss, while ensemble models and urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo nudge trader-implied probabilities toward 20–21°C. Light southerly flow, elevated humidity, and the absence of strong frontal passages further limit overnight drops, consistent with mid-June climatology of 18–22°C minima. Updated model runs and any clearing trends overnight will be the key variables shifting the narrow 20–21°C consensus before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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