The Minnesota gubernatorial race remains an open-seat contest after incumbent Tim Walz stepped aside, positioning Senator Amy Klobuchar as the clear Democratic frontrunner following her dominant party caucus performance. Recent general-election polling shows Klobuchar leading likely Republican nominees by 8–15 points, consistent with trader pricing that clusters probability on Democratic margins of 15–25 percent while assigning low odds to a Republican victory. The August 11 Republican primary, featuring Lisa Demuth, Kendall Qualls, and Mike Lindell, continues to inject uncertainty over the eventual challenger and any late consolidation that could narrow the gap. With three months until the November general election, factors such as turnout patterns in suburban and rural areas, candidate debates, and any shifts in statewide economic or issue polling could still move the final margin within the favored ranges.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाडेमोक्रेट 15-20% 45%
डेमोक्रेट 20-25% 45%
डेमोक्रेट 25-30% 43%
डेमोक्रेट 0-5% 43%

रिपब्लिकन जीत
19%

डेमोक्रेट 0-5%
43%

डेमोक्रेट 5-10%
43%

डेमोक्रेट 10-15%
43%

डेमोक्रेट 15-20%
45%

डेमोक्रेट 20-25%
45%

डेमोक्रेट 25-30%
43%

डेमोक्रेट 30%+
19%
डेमोक्रेट 15-20% 45%
डेमोक्रेट 20-25% 45%
डेमोक्रेट 25-30% 43%
डेमोक्रेट 0-5% 43%

रिपब्लिकन जीत
19%

डेमोक्रेट 0-5%
43%

डेमोक्रेट 5-10%
43%

डेमोक्रेट 10-15%
43%

डेमोक्रेट 15-20%
45%

डेमोक्रेट 20-25%
45%

डेमोक्रेट 25-30%
43%

डेमोक्रेट 30%+
19%
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 5, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Minnesota gubernatorial race remains an open-seat contest after incumbent Tim Walz stepped aside, positioning Senator Amy Klobuchar as the clear Democratic frontrunner following her dominant party caucus performance. Recent general-election polling shows Klobuchar leading likely Republican nominees by 8–15 points, consistent with trader pricing that clusters probability on Democratic margins of 15–25 percent while assigning low odds to a Republican victory. The August 11 Republican primary, featuring Lisa Demuth, Kendall Qualls, and Mike Lindell, continues to inject uncertainty over the eventual challenger and any late consolidation that could narrow the gap. With three months until the November general election, factors such as turnout patterns in suburban and rural areas, candidate debates, and any shifts in statewide economic or issue polling could still move the final margin within the favored ranges.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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