Republican Kurt Alme holds a commanding lead in Montana's open Senate seat following incumbent Steve Daines's withdrawal, with recent primaries confirming his nomination alongside Democrat Alani Bankhead. Montana's consistent Republican tilt in statewide contests, including strong 2024 performance, underpins trader consensus around an Alme victory, as polls consistently show him ahead by double digits in a three-way race against Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar. Bodnar draws notable support but splits opposition votes. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health issues, or a sharp national Democratic surge could narrow the margin before November 2026, though structural advantages favor the Republican nominee.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयारिपब्लिकन 92%
स्वतंत्र 9.2%
डेमोक्रेट <1%
$109,616 वॉल्यूम
$109,616 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन
92%
स्वतंत्र
9%
डेमोक्रेट
<1%
रिपब्लिकन 92%
स्वतंत्र 9.2%
डेमोक्रेट <1%
$109,616 वॉल्यूम
$109,616 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन
$55,848 वॉल्यूम
92%
स्वतंत्र
$14,047 वॉल्यूम
9%
डेमोक्रेट
$39,721 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican Kurt Alme holds a commanding lead in Montana's open Senate seat following incumbent Steve Daines's withdrawal, with recent primaries confirming his nomination alongside Democrat Alani Bankhead. Montana's consistent Republican tilt in statewide contests, including strong 2024 performance, underpins trader consensus around an Alme victory, as polls consistently show him ahead by double digits in a three-way race against Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar. Bodnar draws notable support but splits opposition votes. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health issues, or a sharp national Democratic surge could narrow the margin before November 2026, though structural advantages favor the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$109,616समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican Kurt Alme holds a commanding lead in Montana's open Senate seat following incumbent Steve Daines's withdrawal, with recent primaries confirming his nomination alongside Democrat Alani Bankhead. Montana's consistent Republican tilt in statewide contests, including strong 2024 performance, underpins trader consensus around an Alme victory, as polls consistently show him ahead by double digits in a three-way race against Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar. Bodnar draws notable support but splits opposition votes. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health issues, or a sharp national Democratic surge could narrow the margin before November 2026, though structural advantages favor the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$109,616समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Kurt Alme holds a commanding lead in Montana's open Senate seat following incumbent Steve Daines's withdrawal, with recent primaries confirming his nomination alongside Democrat Alani Bankhead. Montana's consistent Republican tilt in statewide contests, including strong 2024 performance, underpins trader consensus around an Alme victory, as polls consistently show him ahead by double digits in a three-way race against Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar. Bodnar draws notable support but splits opposition votes. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health issues, or a sharp national Democratic surge could narrow the margin before November 2026, though structural advantages favor the Republican nominee.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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