Incumbent Republican Steve Daines's last-minute withdrawal in early March upended Montana's open Senate race, paving the way for his endorsed successor Kurt Alme to consolidate GOP support with backing from Donald Trump, Tim Sheehy, and Governor Greg Gianforte ahead of the June 2 primaries. Trader consensus prices Republicans at 77% implied probability, driven by the state's deepening Republican lean—highlighted by Sheehy's 2024 flip of Jon Tester—and Democrats' underfunded, fragmented primary field totaling under $125,000 cash on hand by late March. Independent Seth Bodnar's leading fundraising ($1.3 million raised) and centrist endorsements sustain his 16% odds as a potential vote-splitter, while Democrats languish at 4% amid post-2024 donor fatigue.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयारिपब्लिकन 78%
स्वतंत्र 16.0%
डेमोक्रेट 3.8%
$72,499 वॉल्यूम
$72,499 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन
78%
स्वतंत्र
16%
डेमोक्रेट
4%
रिपब्लिकन 78%
स्वतंत्र 16.0%
डेमोक्रेट 3.8%
$72,499 वॉल्यूम
$72,499 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन
$37,434 वॉल्यूम
78%
स्वतंत्र
$1,510 वॉल्यूम
16%
डेमोक्रेट
$33,554 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Steve Daines's last-minute withdrawal in early March upended Montana's open Senate race, paving the way for his endorsed successor Kurt Alme to consolidate GOP support with backing from Donald Trump, Tim Sheehy, and Governor Greg Gianforte ahead of the June 2 primaries. Trader consensus prices Republicans at 77% implied probability, driven by the state's deepening Republican lean—highlighted by Sheehy's 2024 flip of Jon Tester—and Democrats' underfunded, fragmented primary field totaling under $125,000 cash on hand by late March. Independent Seth Bodnar's leading fundraising ($1.3 million raised) and centrist endorsements sustain his 16% odds as a potential vote-splitter, while Democrats languish at 4% amid post-2024 donor fatigue.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$72,499समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Steve Daines's last-minute withdrawal in early March upended Montana's open Senate race, paving the way for his endorsed successor Kurt Alme to consolidate GOP support with backing from Donald Trump, Tim Sheehy, and Governor Greg Gianforte ahead of the June 2 primaries. Trader consensus prices Republicans at 77% implied probability, driven by the state's deepening Republican lean—highlighted by Sheehy's 2024 flip of Jon Tester—and Democrats' underfunded, fragmented primary field totaling under $125,000 cash on hand by late March. Independent Seth Bodnar's leading fundraising ($1.3 million raised) and centrist endorsements sustain his 16% odds as a potential vote-splitter, while Democrats languish at 4% amid post-2024 donor fatigue.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$72,499समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Steve Daines's last-minute withdrawal in early March upended Montana's open Senate race, paving the way for his endorsed successor Kurt Alme to consolidate GOP support with backing from Donald Trump, Tim Sheehy, and Governor Greg Gianforte ahead of the June 2 primaries. Trader consensus prices Republicans at 77% implied probability, driven by the state's deepening Republican lean—highlighted by Sheehy's 2024 flip of Jon Tester—and Democrats' underfunded, fragmented primary field totaling under $125,000 cash on hand by late March. Independent Seth Bodnar's leading fundraising ($1.3 million raised) and centrist endorsements sustain his 16% odds as a potential vote-splitter, while Democrats languish at 4% amid post-2024 donor fatigue.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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