The MT-01 race remains tightly contested in prediction markets because the open seat left by retiring Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke has produced nominees in Aaron Flint and Sam Forstag whose profiles and resources have kept general-election positioning close in a district with a modest R+5 Partisan Voter Index. Flint consolidated Republican support after prevailing in a crowded June primary, while Forstag edged out stronger name-recognition challengers on the Democratic side, preserving a competitive path in a state that delivered narrower Republican margins in prior cycles. Limited early polling and the absence of major national headwinds or tailwinds have left trader consensus distributed across narrow victory buckets for either party. Upcoming events such as candidate debates, fall fundraising disclosures, and any shifts in statewide turnout patterns or economic conditions in western Montana could widen the margin by clarifying voter consolidation or enthusiasm gaps ahead of the November general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMT-01 House Election Margin of Victory
MT-01 House Election Margin of Victory
डेमोक्रेट 0-3% 37%
डेमोक्रेट 3-6% 37%
डेमोक्रेट 9-12% 37%
रिपब्लिकन 12%+ 37%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन 12%+
37%
रिपब्लिकन 9-12%
37%
रिपब्लिकन 6-9%
37%
रिपब्लिकन 3-6%
37%
रिपब्लिकन 0-3%
37%
डेमोक्रेट 0-3%
37%
डेमोक्रेट 3-6%
37%
डेमोक्रेट 6-9%
37%
डेमोक्रेट 9-12%
37%
डेमोक्रेट 12%+
37%
डेमोक्रेट 0-3% 37%
डेमोक्रेट 3-6% 37%
डेमोक्रेट 9-12% 37%
रिपब्लिकन 12%+ 37%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन 12%+
$0 वॉल्यूम
37%
रिपब्लिकन 9-12%
$0 वॉल्यूम
37%
रिपब्लिकन 6-9%
$0 वॉल्यूम
37%
रिपब्लिकन 3-6%
$0 वॉल्यूम
37%
रिपब्लिकन 0-3%
$0 वॉल्यूम
37%
डेमोक्रेट 0-3%
$0 वॉल्यूम
37%
डेमोक्रेट 3-6%
$0 वॉल्यूम
37%
डेमोक्रेट 6-9%
$0 वॉल्यूम
37%
डेमोक्रेट 9-12%
$0 वॉल्यूम
37%
डेमोक्रेट 12%+
$0 वॉल्यूम
37%
The 2026 MT-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 MT-01 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The MT-01 race remains tightly contested in prediction markets because the open seat left by retiring Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke has produced nominees in Aaron Flint and Sam Forstag whose profiles and resources have kept general-election positioning close in a district with a modest R+5 Partisan Voter Index. Flint consolidated Republican support after prevailing in a crowded June primary, while Forstag edged out stronger name-recognition challengers on the Democratic side, preserving a competitive path in a state that delivered narrower Republican margins in prior cycles. Limited early polling and the absence of major national headwinds or tailwinds have left trader consensus distributed across narrow victory buckets for either party. Upcoming events such as candidate debates, fall fundraising disclosures, and any shifts in statewide turnout patterns or economic conditions in western Montana could widen the margin by clarifying voter consolidation or enthusiasm gaps ahead of the November general election.
The 2026 MT-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 MT-01 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 MT-01 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 MT-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 MT-01 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The MT-01 race remains tightly contested in prediction markets because the open seat left by retiring Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke has produced nominees in Aaron Flint and Sam Forstag whose profiles and resources have kept general-election positioning close in a district with a modest R+5 Partisan Voter Index. Flint consolidated Republican support after prevailing in a crowded June primary, while Forstag edged out stronger name-recognition challengers on the Democratic side, preserving a competitive path in a state that delivered narrower Republican margins in prior cycles. Limited early polling and the absence of major national headwinds or tailwinds have left trader consensus distributed across narrow victory buckets for either party. Upcoming events such as candidate debates, fall fundraising disclosures, and any shifts in statewide turnout patterns or economic conditions in western Montana could widen the margin by clarifying voter consolidation or enthusiasm gaps ahead of the November general election.
The 2026 MT-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 MT-01 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 MT-01 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The MT-01 race remains tightly contested in prediction markets because the open seat left by retiring Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke has produced nominees in Aaron Flint and Sam Forstag whose profiles and resources have kept general-election positioning close in a district with a modest R+5 Partisan Voter Index. Flint consolidated Republican support after prevailing in a crowded June primary, while Forstag edged out stronger name-recognition challengers on the Democratic side, preserving a competitive path in a state that delivered narrower Republican margins in prior cycles. Limited early polling and the absence of major national headwinds or tailwinds have left trader consensus distributed across narrow victory buckets for either party. Upcoming events such as candidate debates, fall fundraising disclosures, and any shifts in statewide turnout patterns or economic conditions in western Montana could widen the margin by clarifying voter consolidation or enthusiasm gaps ahead of the November general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न