Republican nominee Kurt Alme maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Montana Senate race, reflected in the market's 92.5% implied probability for a Republican victory. Incumbent Steve Daines withdrew near the filing deadline and endorsed Alme, who secured the nomination with 76% in the June primary after receiving former President Trump's backing. Recent polls from June through early August consistently show Alme ahead by 12–22 points in a four-way field that includes Democrat Alani Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar, backed by former Senator Jon Tester. Montana's consistent Republican voting patterns in Senate contests, combined with vote-splitting among non-Republican candidates, underpin trader consensus. Potential shifts could arise from late consolidation of the opposition, major scandals, or unusually high turnout favoring challengers.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयारिपब्लिकन 93%
स्वतंत्र 2.4%
डेमोक्रेट <1%
$111,199 वॉल्यूम
$111,199 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन
93%
स्वतंत्र
2%
डेमोक्रेट
1%
रिपब्लिकन 93%
स्वतंत्र 2.4%
डेमोक्रेट <1%
$111,199 वॉल्यूम
$111,199 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन
$55,889 वॉल्यूम
93%
स्वतंत्र
$15,148 वॉल्यूम
2%
डेमोक्रेट
$40,162 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican nominee Kurt Alme maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Montana Senate race, reflected in the market's 92.5% implied probability for a Republican victory. Incumbent Steve Daines withdrew near the filing deadline and endorsed Alme, who secured the nomination with 76% in the June primary after receiving former President Trump's backing. Recent polls from June through early August consistently show Alme ahead by 12–22 points in a four-way field that includes Democrat Alani Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar, backed by former Senator Jon Tester. Montana's consistent Republican voting patterns in Senate contests, combined with vote-splitting among non-Republican candidates, underpin trader consensus. Potential shifts could arise from late consolidation of the opposition, major scandals, or unusually high turnout favoring challengers.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$111,199समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican nominee Kurt Alme maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Montana Senate race, reflected in the market's 92.5% implied probability for a Republican victory. Incumbent Steve Daines withdrew near the filing deadline and endorsed Alme, who secured the nomination with 76% in the June primary after receiving former President Trump's backing. Recent polls from June through early August consistently show Alme ahead by 12–22 points in a four-way field that includes Democrat Alani Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar, backed by former Senator Jon Tester. Montana's consistent Republican voting patterns in Senate contests, combined with vote-splitting among non-Republican candidates, underpin trader consensus. Potential shifts could arise from late consolidation of the opposition, major scandals, or unusually high turnout favoring challengers.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$111,199समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican nominee Kurt Alme maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Montana Senate race, reflected in the market's 92.5% implied probability for a Republican victory. Incumbent Steve Daines withdrew near the filing deadline and endorsed Alme, who secured the nomination with 76% in the June primary after receiving former President Trump's backing. Recent polls from June through early August consistently show Alme ahead by 12–22 points in a four-way field that includes Democrat Alani Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar, backed by former Senator Jon Tester. Montana's consistent Republican voting patterns in Senate contests, combined with vote-splitting among non-Republican candidates, underpin trader consensus. Potential shifts could arise from late consolidation of the opposition, major scandals, or unusually high turnout favoring challengers.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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