Robert Pattinson leads trader sentiment at 46.1% implied probability following late confirmation that he completed screen tests alongside finalists Callum Turner, Jack Lowden, Josh O’Connor, and Nicholas Hoult. His momentum stems from an existing creative relationship with incoming director Denis Villeneuve on Dune: Part Three, plus reports of a favorable three-film deal offering higher compensation than peers. Turner and Lowden remain credible alternatives at 20% and 17% after earlier October tests and endorsements, including Pierce Brosnan’s public praise for Turner. With Amazon MGM producers signaling a methodical process and an expected announcement before year-end, traders are pricing in Pattinson’s franchise experience and star power as decisive factors while acknowledging the narrow field and potential for late shifts.