Moonshot AI’s July 2026 launch of Kimi K3—a 2.8-trillion-parameter sparse MoE model with 1M-token context, native multimodal support, and Kimi Delta Attention architecture—has anchored trader expectations for the next Kimi K release. The model quickly reached #3 on major leaderboards behind only Claude Fable 5 and GPT-5.6 Sol while topping frontend coding arenas, and full open weights followed on July 27 under a custom license. Strong API demand has driven Moonshot’s annualized revenue past $1 billion, signaling capacity for accelerated iteration. Recent Anthropic accusations of large-scale Claude distillation and routing add regulatory and competitive friction that could slow or complicate future drops. Traders are watching for any official K4 timeline or partnership signals ahead of year-end resolution windows.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$19,130 वॉल्यूम
15 सित, 2026
15 सितंबर, 2026
81%
30 सितंबर, 2026
94%
31 दिसंबर, 2026
99%
$19,130 वॉल्यूम
15 सितंबर, 2026
$3,613 वॉल्यूम
81%
30 सितंबर, 2026
$11,403 वॉल्यूम
94%
31 दिसंबर, 2026
$2,188 वॉल्यूम
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI’s July 2026 launch of Kimi K3—a 2.8-trillion-parameter sparse MoE model with 1M-token context, native multimodal support, and Kimi Delta Attention architecture—has anchored trader expectations for the next Kimi K release. The model quickly reached #3 on major leaderboards behind only Claude Fable 5 and GPT-5.6 Sol while topping frontend coding arenas, and full open weights followed on July 27 under a custom license. Strong API demand has driven Moonshot’s annualized revenue past $1 billion, signaling capacity for accelerated iteration. Recent Anthropic accusations of large-scale Claude distillation and routing add regulatory and competitive friction that could slow or complicate future drops. Traders are watching for any official K4 timeline or partnership signals ahead of year-end resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$19,130समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 12:18 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI’s July 2026 launch of Kimi K3—a 2.8-trillion-parameter sparse MoE model with 1M-token context, native multimodal support, and Kimi Delta Attention architecture—has anchored trader expectations for the next Kimi K release. The model quickly reached #3 on major leaderboards behind only Claude Fable 5 and GPT-5.6 Sol while topping frontend coding arenas, and full open weights followed on July 27 under a custom license. Strong API demand has driven Moonshot’s annualized revenue past $1 billion, signaling capacity for accelerated iteration. Recent Anthropic accusations of large-scale Claude distillation and routing add regulatory and competitive friction that could slow or complicate future drops. Traders are watching for any official K4 timeline or partnership signals ahead of year-end resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$19,130समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 12:18 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI’s July 2026 launch of Kimi K3—a 2.8-trillion-parameter sparse MoE model with 1M-token context, native multimodal support, and Kimi Delta Attention architecture—has anchored trader expectations for the next Kimi K release. The model quickly reached #3 on major leaderboards behind only Claude Fable 5 and GPT-5.6 Sol while topping frontend coding arenas, and full open weights followed on July 27 under a custom license. Strong API demand has driven Moonshot’s annualized revenue past $1 billion, signaling capacity for accelerated iteration. Recent Anthropic accusations of large-scale Claude distillation and routing add regulatory and competitive friction that could slow or complicate future drops. Traders are watching for any official K4 timeline or partnership signals ahead of year-end resolution windows.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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