Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 tops independent benchmarks such as BenchLM's 84.7 score and leads in coding, agentic, and reasoning tasks, anchoring the 71.5% market-implied odds for the company holding the best model by year-end. Recent disclosures show Claude leading 26% of Anthropic's internal AI R&D under human oversight—up from under 1% earlier in 2026—signaling accelerated self-improvement and reinforcing trader consensus on its trajectory. OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra, released September 3, has narrowed gaps in enterprise spending and certain evaluations but trails on multiple leaderboards, supporting its lower 9.5% odds. Google, xAI, and others remain further behind on frontier metrics, with limited near-term catalysts to shift the current positioning before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाएंथ्रोपिक 72%
गूगल 13%
OpenAI 10%
xAI 3.0%
$1,324,534 वॉल्यूम
$1,324,534 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
एंथ्रोपिक
72%
गूगल
13%
OpenAI
10%
xAI
3%
मेटा
3%
अलीबाबा
1%
DeepSeek
1%
मूनशॉट
1%
Z.ai
1%
बायडू
<1%
बाइटडांस
<1%
मिस्त्राल
<1%
Meituan
<1%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट
<1%
अमेज़न
<1%
एंथ्रोपिक 72%
गूगल 13%
OpenAI 10%
xAI 3.0%
$1,324,534 वॉल्यूम
$1,324,534 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
एंथ्रोपिक
$162,032 वॉल्यूम
72%
गूगल
$81,124 वॉल्यूम
13%
OpenAI
$124,357 वॉल्यूम
10%
xAI
$109,288 वॉल्यूम
3%
मेटा
$82,911 वॉल्यूम
3%
अलीबाबा
$72,613 वॉल्यूम
1%
DeepSeek
$92,165 वॉल्यूम
1%
मूनशॉट
$92,374 वॉल्यूम
1%
Z.ai
$76,452 वॉल्यूम
1%
बायडू
$70,987 वॉल्यूम
<1%
बाइटडांस
$85,303 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मिस्त्राल
$73,703 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Meituan
$63,122 वॉल्यूम
<1%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट
$69,676 वॉल्यूम
<1%
अमेज़न
$68,428 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 tops independent benchmarks such as BenchLM's 84.7 score and leads in coding, agentic, and reasoning tasks, anchoring the 71.5% market-implied odds for the company holding the best model by year-end. Recent disclosures show Claude leading 26% of Anthropic's internal AI R&D under human oversight—up from under 1% earlier in 2026—signaling accelerated self-improvement and reinforcing trader consensus on its trajectory. OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra, released September 3, has narrowed gaps in enterprise spending and certain evaluations but trails on multiple leaderboards, supporting its lower 9.5% odds. Google, xAI, and others remain further behind on frontier metrics, with limited near-term catalysts to shift the current positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 4, 2026, 1:39 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,324,534समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jun 4, 2026, 1:39 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 tops independent benchmarks such as BenchLM's 84.7 score and leads in coding, agentic, and reasoning tasks, anchoring the 71.5% market-implied odds for the company holding the best model by year-end. Recent disclosures show Claude leading 26% of Anthropic's internal AI R&D under human oversight—up from under 1% earlier in 2026—signaling accelerated self-improvement and reinforcing trader consensus on its trajectory. OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra, released September 3, has narrowed gaps in enterprise spending and certain evaluations but trails on multiple leaderboards, supporting its lower 9.5% odds. Google, xAI, and others remain further behind on frontier metrics, with limited near-term catalysts to shift the current positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$1,324,534समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jun 4, 2026, 1:39 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 tops independent benchmarks such as BenchLM's 84.7 score and leads in coding, agentic, and reasoning tasks, anchoring the 71.5% market-implied odds for the company holding the best model by year-end. Recent disclosures show Claude leading 26% of Anthropic's internal AI R&D under human oversight—up from under 1% earlier in 2026—signaling accelerated self-improvement and reinforcing trader consensus on its trajectory. OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra, released September 3, has narrowed gaps in enterprise spending and certain evaluations but trails on multiple leaderboards, supporting its lower 9.5% odds. Google, xAI, and others remain further behind on frontier metrics, with limited near-term catalysts to shift the current positioning before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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