Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his capture by American special forces in Caracas on January 3, 2026. He and his wife face longstanding narcoterrorism, drug trafficking, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York, with no bail granted and proceedings conducted under special administrative measures that include near-solitary confinement. Legal challenges to the arrest's validity are advancing, potentially reaching the Supreme Court, while Venezuela's interim government continues to demand his release amid ongoing diplomatic tensions. Traders assign low probability to release by year-end due to the extended trial timeline, absence of plea developments, and limited precedent for swift extradition reversals in comparable cases, though health developments or negotiated resolutions could alter timelines.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$2,631,311 वॉल्यूम
31 जन, 2026
31 दिसंबर
14%
$2,631,311 वॉल्यूम
31 दिसंबर
$235,862 वॉल्यूम
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his capture by American special forces in Caracas on January 3, 2026. He and his wife face longstanding narcoterrorism, drug trafficking, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York, with no bail granted and proceedings conducted under special administrative measures that include near-solitary confinement. Legal challenges to the arrest's validity are advancing, potentially reaching the Supreme Court, while Venezuela's interim government continues to demand his release amid ongoing diplomatic tensions. Traders assign low probability to release by year-end due to the extended trial timeline, absence of plea developments, and limited precedent for swift extradition reversals in comparable cases, though health developments or negotiated resolutions could alter timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,631,311समाप्ति तिथि
31 जन, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his capture by American special forces in Caracas on January 3, 2026. He and his wife face longstanding narcoterrorism, drug trafficking, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York, with no bail granted and proceedings conducted under special administrative measures that include near-solitary confinement. Legal challenges to the arrest's validity are advancing, potentially reaching the Supreme Court, while Venezuela's interim government continues to demand his release amid ongoing diplomatic tensions. Traders assign low probability to release by year-end due to the extended trial timeline, absence of plea developments, and limited precedent for swift extradition reversals in comparable cases, though health developments or negotiated resolutions could alter timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$2,631,311समाप्ति तिथि
31 जन, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his capture by American special forces in Caracas on January 3, 2026. He and his wife face longstanding narcoterrorism, drug trafficking, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York, with no bail granted and proceedings conducted under special administrative measures that include near-solitary confinement. Legal challenges to the arrest's validity are advancing, potentially reaching the Supreme Court, while Venezuela's interim government continues to demand his release amid ongoing diplomatic tensions. Traders assign low probability to release by year-end due to the extended trial timeline, absence of plea developments, and limited precedent for swift extradition reversals in comparable cases, though health developments or negotiated resolutions could alter timelines.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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