Nvidia's closely matched market-implied odds around the $4.5-6.5T ranges at end-2026 capture ongoing uncertainty in AI infrastructure demand versus intensifying competition. Hyperscalers continue ramping custom silicon like Google's TPU 8 series and Amazon's Trainium for inference workloads, while AMD advances competitive GPUs, potentially eroding Nvidia's data center share despite its CUDA ecosystem advantages. Offsetting this, Blackwell systems remain sold out into mid-2026 with robust hyperscaler commitments, and the upcoming Rubin architecture is positioned to drive further growth in training large language models. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical product cycle timelines and the risk of delayed adoption or macroeconomic headwinds affecting capital spending.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 के अंत में एनवीडिया का मार्केट कैप?
2026 के अंत में एनवीडिया का मार्केट कैप?
$4.50-$5.00T 17%
$6.50T+ 16%
$5.50-$6.00 ट्रिलियन 15%
$5.00-$5.50T 13%
नया
नया
31 दिस, 2026
$4.00T से कम
11%
$4.00-$4.50 ट्रिलियन
11%
$4.50-$5.00T
17%
$5.00-$5.50T
13%
$5.50-$6.00 ट्रिलियन
15%
$6.00-$6.50T
13%
$6.50T+
16%
$4.50-$5.00T 17%
$6.50T+ 16%
$5.50-$6.00 ट्रिलियन 15%
$5.00-$5.50T 13%
नया
नया
31 दिस, 2026
$4.00T से कम
$500 वॉल्यूम
11%
$4.00-$4.50 ट्रिलियन
$186 वॉल्यूम
11%
$4.50-$5.00T
$174 वॉल्यूम
17%
$5.00-$5.50T
$76 वॉल्यूम
13%
$5.50-$6.00 ट्रिलियन
$1,464 वॉल्यूम
15%
$6.00-$6.50T
$143 वॉल्यूम
13%
$6.50T+
$173 वॉल्यूम
16%
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia's closely matched market-implied odds around the $4.5-6.5T ranges at end-2026 capture ongoing uncertainty in AI infrastructure demand versus intensifying competition. Hyperscalers continue ramping custom silicon like Google's TPU 8 series and Amazon's Trainium for inference workloads, while AMD advances competitive GPUs, potentially eroding Nvidia's data center share despite its CUDA ecosystem advantages. Offsetting this, Blackwell systems remain sold out into mid-2026 with robust hyperscaler commitments, and the upcoming Rubin architecture is positioned to drive further growth in training large language models. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical product cycle timelines and the risk of delayed adoption or macroeconomic headwinds affecting capital spending.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,715समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia's closely matched market-implied odds around the $4.5-6.5T ranges at end-2026 capture ongoing uncertainty in AI infrastructure demand versus intensifying competition. Hyperscalers continue ramping custom silicon like Google's TPU 8 series and Amazon's Trainium for inference workloads, while AMD advances competitive GPUs, potentially eroding Nvidia's data center share despite its CUDA ecosystem advantages. Offsetting this, Blackwell systems remain sold out into mid-2026 with robust hyperscaler commitments, and the upcoming Rubin architecture is positioned to drive further growth in training large language models. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical product cycle timelines and the risk of delayed adoption or macroeconomic headwinds affecting capital spending.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
वॉल्यूम
$2,715समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Nvidia's closely matched market-implied odds around the $4.5-6.5T ranges at end-2026 capture ongoing uncertainty in AI infrastructure demand versus intensifying competition. Hyperscalers continue ramping custom silicon like Google's TPU 8 series and Amazon's Trainium for inference workloads, while AMD advances competitive GPUs, potentially eroding Nvidia's data center share despite its CUDA ecosystem advantages. Offsetting this, Blackwell systems remain sold out into mid-2026 with robust hyperscaler commitments, and the upcoming Rubin architecture is positioned to drive further growth in training large language models. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical product cycle timelines and the risk of delayed adoption or macroeconomic headwinds affecting capital spending.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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