Trader consensus in the NY-13 Democratic primary favors incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat at 70.5% implied probability ahead of the June 23 contest, reflecting his strong incumbency advantage, over $1 million cash on hand, union endorsements, and backing from allied elected officials like AG Letitia James in upper Manhattan and Bronx neighborhoods. Challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier trades at 28.5%, boosted by DSA and Justice Democrats endorsements, support from former Rep. Jamaal Bowman, and her internal March poll (Upswing Research) showing Espaillat at 42% and her at 28% among likely voters, with his support dropping amid pro-Palestine messaging. No new public polls since April; April ballot challenges resolved without major disruptions, as turnout in progressive precincts remains a key uncertainty.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाएड्रियानो एस्पाइलात 71%
दरियालिज़ाavila चावेलियर 29%
ऑस्कर रोमेरो 1.5%
थियो चीनो-तवारेज़ <1%
$22,629 वॉल्यूम
$22,629 वॉल्यूम
एड्रियानो एस्पाइलात
71%
दरियालिज़ाavila चावेलियर
29%
ऑस्कर रोमेरो
1%
थियो चीनो-तवारेज़
<1%
मेगन रोड्रिगेज
<1%
जलील अमाडोर
<1%
जेम्स फेल्टन कीथ
<1%
मैट मिलर
<1%
एड्रियानो एस्पाइलात 71%
दरियालिज़ाavila चावेलियर 29%
ऑस्कर रोमेरो 1.5%
थियो चीनो-तवारेज़ <1%
$22,629 वॉल्यूम
$22,629 वॉल्यूम
एड्रियानो एस्पाइलात
71%
दरियालिज़ाavila चावेलियर
29%
ऑस्कर रोमेरो
1%
थियो चीनो-तवारेज़
<1%
मेगन रोड्रिगेज
<1%
जलील अमाडोर
<1%
जेम्स फेल्टन कीथ
<1%
मैट मिलर
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the NY-13 Democratic primary favors incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat at 70.5% implied probability ahead of the June 23 contest, reflecting his strong incumbency advantage, over $1 million cash on hand, union endorsements, and backing from allied elected officials like AG Letitia James in upper Manhattan and Bronx neighborhoods. Challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier trades at 28.5%, boosted by DSA and Justice Democrats endorsements, support from former Rep. Jamaal Bowman, and her internal March poll (Upswing Research) showing Espaillat at 42% and her at 28% among likely voters, with his support dropping amid pro-Palestine messaging. No new public polls since April; April ballot challenges resolved without major disruptions, as turnout in progressive precincts remains a key uncertainty.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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