Following Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's April 21 resignation amid ethics investigations, trader consensus prices former Broward County Commissioner Dale Holness slightly ahead of organizer Elijah Manley in the FL-20 Democratic primary, reflecting a closely contested race with both at around 35-37%. Holness benefits from name recognition after narrowly losing the 2021 special primary to Cherfilus-McCormick by five votes, appealing to establishment voters, while Manley sustains momentum from February-March polls showing him leading and endorsements like the Alliance for American Leadership PAC. The crowded field, including recent entrant Luther Campbell, fragments support in this majority-Black district, amplified by Black Democratic leaders' recent push against outside candidates to preserve representation. Q2 fundraising reports, endorsements, and forums could tip the balance ahead of the August 18 primary.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाElijah Manley 46%
Dale Holness 17%
Maisha Williams 5.5%
Mark Douglas 5.3%
Elijah Manley
35%
Dale Holness
37%
Maisha Williams
5%
Mark Douglas
5%
Luther Campbell
5%
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick
2%
Rudy Moise
1%
Elijah Manley 46%
Dale Holness 17%
Maisha Williams 5.5%
Mark Douglas 5.3%
Elijah Manley
35%
Dale Holness
37%
Maisha Williams
5%
Mark Douglas
5%
Luther Campbell
5%
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick
2%
Rudy Moise
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Following Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's April 21 resignation amid ethics investigations, trader consensus prices former Broward County Commissioner Dale Holness slightly ahead of organizer Elijah Manley in the FL-20 Democratic primary, reflecting a closely contested race with both at around 35-37%. Holness benefits from name recognition after narrowly losing the 2021 special primary to Cherfilus-McCormick by five votes, appealing to establishment voters, while Manley sustains momentum from February-March polls showing him leading and endorsements like the Alliance for American Leadership PAC. The crowded field, including recent entrant Luther Campbell, fragments support in this majority-Black district, amplified by Black Democratic leaders' recent push against outside candidates to preserve representation. Q2 fundraising reports, endorsements, and forums could tip the balance ahead of the August 18 primary.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न